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ASTH

Strong BuyFLAG

Astrana Health, Inc. · Healthcare · United States · $1.9B · Avg Vol: $19M/d

84
StockRank
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Q
46
V
54
M
81
P/E (TTM)
47.1x
ROE
6.9%
D/E
1.6x
Dividend %
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Astrana Health has exceptional momentum at M88 with a buyback on file, but quality at Q46 and value at V48 are both below the calibrated floor, so stage one fails.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Astrana Health, Inc. (formerly Apollo Medical Holdings) is an integrated healthcare delivery and technology company that provides value-based care management services, primarily to Medicare Advantage members. Its competitive moat is built on a physician-centric, integrated care model that leverages proprietary technology and data analytics to improve patient outcomes and reduce costs for complex populations. Astrana Health is a leading innovator in value-based care, focused on risk-bearing contracts and delivering comprehensive, coordinated care.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year20212022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue1.1B1.4B2.0B3.2B40.6%3.8B4.0B4.4B17.4%
EPS1.091.300.910.46-25.0%0.820.660.7729.1%
Shares46.6M46.8M47.9M48.9M+5.0%49.6M
Debt229.4M321.0M470.7M1.1B67.5%979.4M
Equity448.2M542.6M410.8M514.2M558.3M5.6%
Op CF82.1M68.2M52.2M114.6M11.7%107.9M
Inv CF-7.1M-65.5M-192.4M-539.0M
Fin CF-20.1M3.4M135.1M569.3M
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)-14.8%
34.1336.9639.8042.6345.46Jul 20Aug 10Aug 28
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$37.96
RSI (14)
51.5
52W High
$51.60
From 52W High
0.7%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
46
ROIC
5.6%59.4
ROE
6.9%62.6
GP/Assets
18.1%43.1
Op. Margin
3.5%51.3
FCF/Assets
7.0%77.5
Piotroski
316.5
Int. Cover
1.8x43.4
D/E Ratio
1.64x7.7
Current Ratio
1.23x17.6
Value
54
P/E (TTM)
47.1x21.2
EV/EBITDA
13.3x54.4
P/FCF
12.2x78.0
P/B
2.3x55.5
P/S
0.5x92.4
Div Yield
N/A
Momentum
81
52W High %
74%54.9
RS 6M
74%94.3
SMA 50/200
1.33x94.7
EPS Rev 4W
+3.5%78.9
EPS Rev 12W
+3.8%78.2
EPS Improve
+332%92.8
Q Growth
110%84.9

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$1.9B
P/E (Forward)
10.9x
Gross Margin
10.5%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Healthcare, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ASTH are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
ASTHAstrana Health, Inc.(you)$1.9B84Strong Buy
ARDTArdent Health, Inc.$1.6B86Strong Buy
GRDNGuardian Pharmacy Services, Inc.$2.4B87Strong Buy
ADUSAddus HomeCare Corporation$2.3B92Strong Buy
HCSGHealthcare Services Group, Inc.$1.6B95Strong Buy
MDPediatrix Medical Group, Inc.$2.2B98Strong Buy
AMNAMN Healthcare Services, Inc.$1.3B96Strong Buy
NHCNational HealthCare Corporation$3.6B91Strong Buy
AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc.$3.0B95Strong Buy
LFSTLifeStance Health Group, Inc.$4.6B81Strong Buy

Peer medians: ROE -25.8% · P/E 29.5x · Gross margin 58.8%

Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH): Stock Score Summary

Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) has a MoatMap StockRank of 84/100 based on Quality (46/100), Value (54/100), and Momentum (81/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. Astrana Health has exceptional momentum at M88 with a buyback on file, but quality at Q46 and value at V48 are both below the calibrated floor, so stage one fails.

Astrana Health, Inc. (formerly Apollo Medical Holdings) is an integrated healthcare delivery and technology company that provides value-based care management services, primarily to Medicare Advantage members. Its competitive moat is built on a physician-centric, integrated care model that leverages proprietary technology and data analytics to improve patient outcomes and reduce costs for complex populations. Astrana Health is a leading innovator in value-based care, focused on risk-bearing contracts and delivering comprehensive, coordinated care.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$37.96
Market Cap$1.9B
P/E (TTM)47.09
P/E (Forward)10.91
Price/Book2.29
Return on Equity6.9%
Return on Invested Capital5.6%
Debt/Equity1.64x
Gross Margin10.5%
Operating Margin3.5%
Revenue Growth48.5%
Free Cash Flow$155M

Astrana Health, Inc. operates in the Medical Care Facilities industry, part of the Healthcare sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Astrana Health, Inc.’s (ASTH) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) is 84/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (46), Value (54), and Momentum (81) factor ranks across MoatMap’s 20,000+ stock universe.
Does Astrana Health, Inc. have an economic moat?
Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) has a Quality factor score of 46/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Astrana Health, Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 84/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Astrana Health, Inc. in?
Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) operates in the Healthcare sector, specifically the Medical Care Facilities industry (United States).