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CF

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CF Industries Holdings, Inc. · Basic Materials · United States · $19.0B · Avg Vol: $290M/d

97
StockRank
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Q
83
V
67
M
59
P/E (TTM)
9.3x
ROE
29.9%
D/E
0.4x
Dividend %
1.6%
AI CONVICTION THESIS

CF Industries produces nitrogen fertiliser from low-cost North American natural gas, a structural cost advantage over European producers whose gas costs remain far higher, and it returns a large share of cash flow through buybacks and dividends with a strong quality score (Q79). The 3.0% consensus trim is modest. Nothing adverse is known on accounting, solvency or governance.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, including ammonia, urea, and UAN, essential for agricultural and industrial applications. The company benefits from its extensive, low-cost production network and strategic access to North American natural gas, providing a significant competitive advantage in the global fertilizer market. Its scale and integrated distribution capabilities solidify its position as a major basic materials provider.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue11.2B6.6B5.9B7.1B-14.1%7.7B8.3B7.2B0.9%
EPS16.457.896.758.98-18.3%13.4815.0810.679.0%
Shares195.6M188.2M169.9M153.6M-21.5%151.3M
Debt3.2B3.2B3.2B3.6B4.1%3.6B
Equity5.1B5.7B5.0B4.8B-1.4%
Op CF3.9B2.8B2.3B2.8B-10.6%3.0B
Inv CF-440.0M-1.7B-469.0M-933.0M
Fin CF-2.7B-1.4B-2.2B-1.5B
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)+1.8%
114118122126130Jul 20Aug 10Aug 28
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$125.79
RSI (14)
58.7
52W High
$140.66
From 52W High
0.9%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
83
ROIC
24.7%94.9
ROE
29.9%94.7
GP/Assets
23.3%78.7
Op. Margin
49.3%95.1
FCF/Assets
13.5%92.7
Piotroski
893.4
Int. Cover
20.3x73.1
D/E Ratio
0.41x35.4
Current Ratio
4.86x78.1
Value
67
P/E (TTM)
9.3x86.9
EV/EBITDA
6.0x81.3
P/FCF
10.0x79.5
P/B
3.3x31.8
P/S
2.5x41.0
Div Yield
1.6%42.0
Momentum
59
52W High %
89%80.7
RS 6M
15%83.9
SMA 50/200
1.11x81.6
EPS Rev 4W
-6.6%10.0
EPS Rev 12W
-0.3%33.6
EPS Improve
-22%11.8
Q Growth
88%67.8

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$19.0B
P/E (Forward)
12.0x
Gross Margin
42.5%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CF are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.(you)$19.0B97Strong Buy
SMGThe Scotts Miracle-Gro Company$3.5B82Strong Buy
CTVACorteva, Inc.$56.0B67Buy
MOSC34.SAThe Mosaic Company$7.7B42Hold
IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.$506M87Strong Buy
IFOS.VItafos Inc.$343M72Buy
RSReliance, Inc.$19.8B86Strong Buy
AAI.AXAlcoa Corporation$13.4B90Strong Buy
CDM1.DECoeur Mining, Inc.$21.2B83Strong Buy
SSRM.TOSSR Mining Inc.$7.6B93Strong Buy

Peer medians: ROE 3.8% · P/E 25.0x · Gross margin 25.8%

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF): Stock Score Summary

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) has a MoatMap StockRank of 97/100 based on Quality (83/100), Value (67/100), and Momentum (59/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. CF Industries produces nitrogen fertiliser from low-cost North American natural gas, a structural cost advantage over European producers whose gas costs remain far higher, and it returns a large share of cash flow through buybacks and dividends with a strong quality score (Q79). The 3.0% consensus trim is modest. Nothing adverse is known on accounting, solvency or governance.

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, including ammonia, urea, and UAN, essential for agricultural and industrial applications. The company benefits from its extensive, low-cost production network and strategic access to North American natural gas, providing a significant competitive advantage in the global fertilizer market. Its scale and integrated distribution capabilities solidify its position as a major basic materials provider.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$125.79
Market Cap$19.0B
P/E (TTM)9.32
P/E (Forward)12.02
Price/Book3.32
Return on Equity29.9%
Return on Invested Capital24.7%
Debt/Equity0.41x
Gross Margin42.5%
Operating Margin49.3%
Revenue Growth17.6%
Dividend Yield1.6%
Free Cash Flow$1.9B

CF Industries Holdings, Inc. operates in the Agricultural Inputs industry, part of the Basic Materials sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is CF Industries Holdings, Inc.’s (CF) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is 97/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (83), Value (67), and Momentum (59) factor ranks across MoatMap’s 20,000+ stock universe.
Does CF Industries Holdings, Inc. have an economic moat?
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) has a Quality factor score of 83/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is CF Industries Holdings, Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 97/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is CF Industries Holdings, Inc. in?
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) operates in the Basic Materials sector, specifically the Agricultural Inputs industry (United States).