9988.HK
SellSinkerAlibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · China · $279.8B
HKD 105.40 +1.0% · close 5 Oct · scored 3 Oct
Sinker: Weak, expensive and falling. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT ALIBABA GROUP HOLDING LIMITED
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Alibaba Group Holding Limited is a global e-commerce and technology conglomerate offering a vast ecosystem including online marketplaces (Taobao, Tmall), cloud computing (Alibaba Cloud), digital media, and logistics services. Its enormous user base, sophisticated technological infrastructure, and network effects across its various platforms create a formidable competitive moat. Alibaba is a dominant force in China's digital economy and a growing international player.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (HKD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 999.6B | 1.0T | 1.1T | 1.2T | 1.2T | 4.7% | 1.2T | 1.3T | 1.5T | 11.2% |
| EPS (HKD) | 3.36 | 4.05 | 4.63 | 8.07 | 6.68 | 18.7% | 4.34 | 11.08 | — | 65.9% |
| Shares | 21.4B | 20.5B | 19.5B | 19.0B | 18.6B | -13.0% | 19.9B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 206.9B | 229.2B | 240.9B | 290.7B | 330.1B | 12.4% | 311.9B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.1T | 1.2T | 1.2T | 1.2T | 1.2T | 2.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 167.3B | 234.1B | 214.0B | 191.6B | 89.3B | -14.5% | 91.9B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -232.7B | -158.8B | -25.6B | -217.3B | -78.9B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -75.5B | -76.9B | -126.8B | -89.3B | -24.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
Swung more than 56% of stocks we rank over the past year (45% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 9988.HK are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9988.HK | Alibaba Group Holding Limited(you) | $279.8B | 23 | Sell |
| PRX.JO | Prosus N.V. | $85.3B | 22 | Sell |
| 3690.HK | Meituan | $51.4B | 29 | Sell |
| DASH | DoorDash, Inc. | $82.0B | 39 | Hold |
| MELI | MercadoLibre, Inc. | $91.2B | 42 | Hold |
| NPN.JO | Naspers Limited | $32.4B | 26 | Sell |
| JD | JD.com, Inc. | $36.7B | 34 | Sell |
| PDD | PDD Holdings Inc. | $112.7B | 64 | Hold |
| CPNG | Coupang, Inc. | $25.7B | 10 | Strong Sell |
| ETERNAL.NS | Eternal Limited | $32.2B | 43 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 8.2% · P/E 16.7x · Gross margin 30.8%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.