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MOMO

Strong BuyFLAG

Hello Group Inc. · Communication Services · China · $841M · Avg Vol: $3M/d

85
StockRank
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Q
56
V
81
M
44
P/E (TTM)
8.6x
ROE
6.7%
D/E
0.0x
Dividend %
4.9%
Dir. Trades · 180d
−$24.1K →
Buybacks · 180d
None →
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Hello Group is very cheap at V80 with quality Q56, but momentum at M42 is below the calibrated floor, so stage one fails.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Hello Group Inc. operates leading mobile social networking and entertainment platforms in China, including Momo and Tantan, which facilitate social interaction, live video streaming, and online dating. The company benefits from significant network effects and an established, large user base, creating a strong competitive moat within China's dynamic social media landscape. Hello Group monetizes its platforms primarily through virtual gifting, premium subscriptions, and advertising.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue1.9B1.8B1.6B1.5B-6.6%1.5B1.5B1.6B0.4%
EPS3.965.382.552.03-20.0%0.672.332.5111.1%
Shares107.6M107.6M107.6M107.6M0.0%107.6M———
Debt411.8M340.1M681.7M19.2M-64.0%13.5M———
Equity1.6B1.8B1.7B1.6B0.3%————
Op CF182.6M338.8M244.0M176.0M-1.2%164.3M———
Inv CF255.3M359.1M-83.2M24.5M—————
Fin CF-510.8M-252.9M35.1M-809.3M—————
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)-4.7%
5.695.785.865.956.03Jul 20Aug 10Aug 28
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$5.72
RSI (14)
36.1
52W High
$8.20
From 52W High
0.7%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
56
ROIC
14.8%76.0
ROE
6.7%47.9
GP/Assets
4.2%6.4
Op. Margin
13.0%62.9
FCF/Assets
3.5%40.5
Piotroski
890.7
Int. Cover
23.9x64.5
D/E Ratio
0.01x85.8
Current Ratio
4.35x87.7
Value
81
P/E (TTM)
8.6x85.5
EV/EBITDA
-34.5x99.4
P/FCF
1.7x97.6
P/B
3.5x24.8
P/S
0.6x83.0
Div Yield
4.9%72.6
Momentum
44
52W High %
70%43.9
RS 6M
-20%33.8
SMA 50/200
0.96x46.8
EPS Rev 4W
+0.8%35.2
EPS Rev 12W
+2.8%84.8
EPS Improve
+61%54.7
Q Growth
-19%31.6

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$841M
P/E (Forward)
5.3x
Gross Margin
38.0%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Communication Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MOMO are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
MOMOHello Group Inc.(you)$841M85Strong Buy
1896.HKMaoyan Entertainment$649M67Buy
3700.HKInkeverse Group Limited$246M85Strong Buy
WBWeibo Corporation$1.7B70Buy
2076.HKKanzhun Limited$8.1B83Strong Buy
9899.HKNetEase Cloud Music Inc.$2.4B54Hold
ATHMAutohome Inc.$2.5B52Hold
300226.SZShanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings Co., Ltd.$960M19Strong Sell
1357.HKMeitu, Inc.$2.8B34Sell
603888.SSXinhuanet Co., Ltd.$1.8B25Sell

Peer medians: ROE 4.0% · P/E 19.4x · Gross margin 36.4%

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO): Stock Score Summary

Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) has a MoatMap StockRank of 85/100 based on Quality (56/100), Value (81/100), and Momentum (44/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. Hello Group is very cheap at V80 with quality Q56, but momentum at M42 is below the calibrated floor, so stage one fails.

Hello Group Inc. operates leading mobile social networking and entertainment platforms in China, including Momo and Tantan, which facilitate social interaction, live video streaming, and online dating. The company benefits from significant network effects and an established, large user base, creating a strong competitive moat within China's dynamic social media landscape. Hello Group monetizes its platforms primarily through virtual gifting, premium subscriptions, and advertising.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$5.72
Market Cap$841M
P/E (TTM)8.60
P/E (Forward)5.35
Price/Book3.53
Return on Equity6.7%
Return on Invested Capital14.8%
Debt/Equity0.01x
Gross Margin38.0%
Operating Margin13.0%
Revenue Growth-5.4%
Dividend Yield4.9%
Free Cash Flow$486M

Hello Group Inc. operates in the Internet Content & Information industry, part of the Communication Services sector (China).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Hello Group Inc.’s (MOMO) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) is 85/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (56), Value (81), and Momentum (44) factor ranks across MoatMap’s 20,000+ stock universe.
Does Hello Group Inc. have an economic moat?
Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) has a Quality factor score of 56/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Hello Group Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 85/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Hello Group Inc. in?
Hello Group Inc. (MOMO) operates in the Communication Services sector, specifically the Internet Content & Information industry (China).
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Hello Group (MOMO): Cigar Butt or Global Platform Mispriced at 0.6x Book?

A Beijing live-streaming platform at 5.9x earnings and 0.6x book, StockRank 98, with a 22% share-count cut in a year. A MENA pivot via SoulChill, live-streaming as an unlikely moat, and a Mungerian inversion worth sitting with. Cigar butt, or mispriced platform?

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