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002946.SZ

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New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. · Consumer Defensive · China · $2.0B · Avg Vol: $12M/d

66
StockRank
Q
62
V
38
M
55
P/E (TTM)
18.2x
ROE
22.0%
D/E
0.6x
Dividend %
2.7%
Director Trades · 180d
None in 180d →
Buybacks · 180d
None in 180d →
AI CONVICTION THESIS

New Hope Dairy is a regional Chinese dairy producer. While it has stable domestic demand, it lacks any structural alignment with our core high-conviction macro themes such as energy security, advanced packaging, or commodity supercycles, and does not possess the global pricing power required for our concentrated book.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. produces and distributes liquid milk, yogurt, and other dairy products under various regional brands. The company operates a unique '1+N' regional brand consolidation strategy, dominating local fresh milk markets across China. It is a leading player in China's premium pasteurized milk segment with a highly localized cold-chain logistics network.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGR
Revenue1.5B1.6B1.6B1.7B3.9%
EPS0.060.070.090.1326.5%
Shares866.6M865.8M860.7M860.7M-0.7%
Debt649.2M554.1M459.0M360.0M-17.8%
Equity372.2M377.9M451.5M575.7M15.7%
Op CF152.8M230.1M220.4M223.2M13.5%
Inv CF-96.5M-86.7M-84.0M-71.7M—
Fin CF-69.2M-139.8M-143.4M-161.1M—
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PRICE (1Y)-13.6%
2.222.362.492.622.76May 12Jun 2Jun 23
SMA 50SMA 200
Close
$2.31
RSI (14)
30.6
52W High
$2.92
From 52W High
0.8%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
62
ROIC
19.9%85.2
ROE
22.0%85.0
GP/Assets
36.9%64.2
Op. Margin
8.7%56.4
FCF/Assets
6.3%67.1
Piotroski
887.4
Int. Cover
10.5x47.2
D/E Ratio
0.59x40.8
Current Ratio
0.49x2.3
Value
38
P/E (TTM)
18.2x45.9
EV/EBITDA
11.1x39.5
P/FCF
158.9x33.3
P/B
3.7x18.1
P/S
1.3x42.9
Div Yield
2.7%46.1
Momentum
55
52W High %
79%45.5
RS 6M
-11%59.6
SMA 50/200
0.99x55.3
EPS Rev 4W
—N/A
EPS Rev 12W
—N/A
EPS Improve
+32%47.3
Q Growth
40%74.1

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$2.0B
P/E (Forward)
13.8x
Gross Margin
29.3%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 002946.SZ are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
002946.SZNew Hope Dairy Co., Ltd.(you)$2.0B66BUY
600872.SSJonjee Hi-Tech Industrial and Commercial Holding Co.,Ltd$2.0B69BUY
002216.SZSanquan Food Co., Ltd.$1.5B68BUY
605016.SSShandong Bailong Chuangyuan Bio-Tech Co., Ltd.$1.5B69BUY
002507.SZChongqing Fuling Zhacai Group Co., Ltd.$1.9B56HOLD
300146.SZByhealth Co., Ltd$2.6B59HOLD
9985.HKWEILONG Delicious Global Holdings Ltd$2.3B77BUY
6186.HKChina Feihe Limited$3.3B70BUY
600186.SSLotus Holdings Co.,Ltd.$3.8B69BUY
603170.SSShanghai Bolex Food Technology Co., Ltd.$700M67BUY

Peer medians: ROE 8.4% · P/E 21.7x · Gross margin 33.3%

New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (002946.SZ) — Stock Score Summary

New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (002946.SZ) has a MoatMap StockRank of 66/100 based on Quality (62/100), Value (38/100), and Momentum (55/100) factor scores. The current signal is BUY. New Hope Dairy is a regional Chinese dairy producer. While it has stable domestic demand, it lacks any structural alignment with our core high-conviction macro themes such as energy security, advanced packaging, or commodity supercycles, and does not possess the global pricing power required for our concentrated book.

New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. produces and distributes liquid milk, yogurt, and other dairy products under various regional brands. The company operates a unique '1+N' regional brand consolidation strategy, dominating local fresh milk markets across China. It is a leading player in China's premium pasteurized milk segment with a highly localized cold-chain logistics network.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$2.31
Market Cap$2.0B
P/E (TTM)18.20
P/E (Forward)13.83
Price/Book3.68
Return on Equity22.0%
Return on Invested Capital19.9%
Debt/Equity58.70
Gross Margin29.3%
Operating Margin8.7%
Revenue Growth8.3%
Dividend Yield2.7%
Free Cash Flow$12M

New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. operates in the Packaged Foods industry, part of the Consumer Defensive sector (China).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd.’s (002946.SZ) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (002946.SZ) is 66/100, with a Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (62), Value (38), and Momentum (55) factor ranks across MoatMap’s 20,000+ stock universe.
Does New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. have an economic moat?
New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (002946.SZ) has a Quality factor score of 62/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage — the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (002946.SZ) is Buy, based on a StockRank of 66/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many — combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. in?
New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (002946.SZ) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Packaged Foods industry (China).
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