1258.HK
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralChina Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited · Basic Materials · China · $7.7B
HKD 15.71 +0.7% · close 6 Oct · scored 7 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
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China Nonferrous Mining Corporation operates copper and cobalt mining and smelting assets within the Central African Copperbelt in Zambia and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Upward consensus earnings revisions reflect firm underlying refined metal prices, but single-commodity cyclicality, sovereign concession risks, and state-backed governance preclude high-conviction compounding.
ABOUT CHINA NONFERROUS MINING CORPORATION LIMITED
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China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited (CNMC) is primarily engaged in the exploration, mining, beneficiation, metallurgy, and sale of copper and cobalt products, with core operations centered in Zambia. The company holds a significant competitive position as a major African copper and cobalt producer, benefiting from substantial owned mineral resources and vertically integrated operations. CNMC is a key player in supplying metals critical for global industrial demand and the burgeoning electric vehicle market, albeit with exposure to commodity price volatility.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (HKD)
| Year | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 31.8B | 32.1B | 28.3B | 30.0B | 26.8B | -4.1% | 30.8B | 34.6B | 36.3B | 16.4% |
| EPS (HKD) | 0.77 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 1.5% | 1.15 | 1.51 | 1.44 | 32.9% |
| Shares | 3.7B | 3.7B | 3.7B | 3.9B | 3.9B | +4.4% | 3.9B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 7.0B | 4.2B | 1.4B | 374.9M | 709.0M | -43.5% | 677.9M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 12.1B | 13.1B | 14.5B | 17.7B | 19.5B | 12.7% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 4.2B | 6.1B | 4.6B | 6.1B | 7.4B | 15.0% | 11.4B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.6B | -594.1M | -1.8B | -623.5M | -2.2B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.8B | -4.5B | -4.7B | -1.4B | -1.6B | — | — | — | — | — |
Swung more than 81% of stocks we rank over the past year (67% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 1258.HK are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1258.HK | China Nonferrous Mining Corporation Limited(you) | $7.7B | 99 | Strong Buy |
| 0358.HK | Jiangxi Copper Company Limited | $14.6B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| 000737.SZ | North Copper Co., Ltd. | $4.0B | 65 | Buy |
| 000630.SZ | Tongling Nonferrous Metals Group Co.,Ltd. | $11.8B | 60 | Hold |
| 000878.SZ | Yunnan Copper Co.,Ltd | $5.9B | 33 | Sell |
| 601609.SS | Ningbo Jintian Copper (Group) Co., Ltd. | $3.1B | 42 | Hold |
| 301511.SZ | Jiujiang Defu Technology Co., Limited | $9.7B | 28 | Sell |
| 600490.SS | Pengxin International Mining Co.,Ltd | $2.2B | 47 | Hold |
| 002203.SZ | Zhejiang Hailiang Co., Ltd. | $6.1B | 25 | Sell |
| 3636.HK | Yunnan Jinxun Resources Co., Ltd. | $175M | 96 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 6.2% · P/E 27.8x · Gross margin 17.5%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.