4161.SR
Fallen FavouriteBinDawood Holding Company · Consumer Defensive · Saudi Arabia · $1.4B cap · $1.2M/day traded
SAR 4.57 -1.1% · close 5 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for BinDawood Holding Company (4161.SR) is 45/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 51, Value 39, Momentum 49, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT BINDAWOOD HOLDING COMPANY
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BinDawood Holding Company operates hypermarkets and supermarkets in Qatar, and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (SAR)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.9B | 5.6B | 5.7B | 6.3B | 9.0% | 6.9B | 6.8B | 7.3B | 7.2% |
| EPS (SAR) | 0.10 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 33.9% | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.7% |
| Shares | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.1B | 1.1B | 0.0% | 1.1B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 2.3B | 2.2B | 2.3B | 2.8B | 7.1% | 3.5B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 4.1% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 746.2M | 761.0M | 948.3M | 670.8M | -3.5% | 764.4M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -346.3M | -234.3M | -524.6M | -589.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -375.6M | -521.0M | -508.7M | -215.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 9 trading days ago, 18% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 69% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 32% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 4161.SR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4161.SR | BinDawood Holding Company(you) | $1.4B | 45 |
| 4001.SR | Abdullah Al-Othaim Markets Company | $933M | 22 |
| 2288.SR | Nofoth Food Products Company | $151M | 58 |
| 6010.SR | The National Agricultural Development Company | $948M | 47 |
| 2270.SR | Saudia Dairy & Foodstuff Company | $1.5B | 58 |
| 4291.SR | National Company for Learning and Education | $1.2B | 24 |
| 6019.SR | Almasar Alshamil Education Company JSC | $555M | 61 |
| 6050.SR | Saudi Fisheries Company | $1.1B | 15 |
| 2050.SR | Savola Group Company | $1.9B | 75 |
| 4162.SR | Almunajem Foods Company | $864M | 74 |
Peer medians: ROE 8.9% · P/E 13.9x · Gross margin 31.0%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.