4264.SR
SinkerFlynas Company · Industrials · Saudi Arabia · $1.8B cap · $2.7M/day traded
SAR 40.40 -0.3% · close 5 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Flynas Company (4264.SR) is 17/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 22, Value 36, Momentum 41, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT FLYNAS COMPANY
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Flynas Company operates airlines in Saudi Arabia and the Middle East. It operates through three segments: flynas Low-Cost Carrier; flynas Hajj and Umrah; and flynas General Aviation (NasJet) Services.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (SAR)
| Year | 2024 | 2025 | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.6B | 7.8B | 8.3B | 8.3B | 9.7B | 11.3% |
| EPS (SAR) | 2.54 | -3.22 | 0.46 | -2.00 | 2.84 | 3.9% |
| Shares | 170.9M | 170.9M | 170.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 6.2B | 7.5B | 7.1B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.6B | 3.5B | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 1.9B | 1.4B | 1.6B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -341.8M | -1.1B | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.3B | 2.2B | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 9 trading days ago, 50% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Calmer than 63% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 35% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 4264.SR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4264.SR | Flynas Company(you) | $1.8B | 17 |
| 4031.SR | Saudi Ground Services Company | $930M | 31 |
| 6004.SR | CATRION Catering Holding Company | $1.2B | 55 |
| 2120.SR | Saudi Advanced Industries Company | $193M | 16 |
| 2084.SR | Miahona Company Limited | $386M | 2 |
| 1303.SR | Electrical Industries Company | $3.1B | 55 |
| 4144.SR | Raoom trading Company | $222M | 23 |
| 4110.SR | Batic Investments and Logistics Company | $265M | 27 |
| 4280.SR | Kingdom Holding Company | $12.0B | 33 |
| 2110.SR | Saudi Cable Company | $281M | 33 |
Peer medians: ROE 12.7% · P/E 13.7x · Gross margin 20.6%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.