7438.T

BuyFull HouseAI neutral

Kondotec Inc. · Industrials · Japan · $288M

JPY 1,636 +1.0% · close 8 Oct · scored 9 Oct

StockRank up 2.2 since 8 Oct: Momentum up 3 after a 1% price rise.

Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.

77
StockRank
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Quality
54
Value
62
Momentum
55

As of 9 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Kondotec Inc. (7438.T) is 77/100: Quality 54, Value 62, Momentum 55, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets.

Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →

P/E (TTM)
12.8x
peers 13.5x
ROE
8.9%
peers 9.8%
D/E
0.2x
peers 0.2x
Dividend %
3.0%
trailing yield
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Kondotec is a Japanese maker and distributor of construction fasteners, steel fixings and electrical materials. Insiders bought about 0.34% of shares in 90 days and valuation is reasonable. It is a steady, cyclical construction supplier with modest returns rather than a compounder.

ABOUT KONDOTEC INC.

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Kondotec Inc. is a Japanese trading company specializing in construction materials, tools, and equipment, serving the civil engineering, construction, and disaster prevention sectors. Leveraging its extensive distribution network and long-standing supplier relationships, the company provides a wide array of essential products to construction sites nationwide. Its deep understanding of industry needs and efficient logistics are key competitive strengths.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (JPY)

Year20222023202420252026CAGRTTM
Revenue—75.4B76.9B79.2B83.9B3.6%86.4B
EPS (JPY)87.2694.75128.02128.02128.8110.2%129.31
Shares—25.5M25.5M25.6M25.6M+0.6%25.6M
Debt—4.3B4.8B5.2B7.1B17.8%9.0B
Equity—31.3B33.9B36.3B38.5B7.2%—
Op CF—4.0B4.2B5.8B2.8B-11.0%2.7B
Inv CF—-1.4B-2.1B-1.7B-2.8B——
Fin CF—-2.0B-1.1B-531.0M-37.0M——
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y) · JPY-0.2%
1,6201,6621,7031,7451,78624 Aug15 Sep8 Oct
SMA 50SMA 200

Price checkIn an uptrendExperimental

Above its 200-day average and 9% below its 52-week high.

SwingsCalm

Calmer than 90% of stocks we rank over the past year (20% a year).

How this is worked out

StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.

The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.

In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.

What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.

What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.

Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.

Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.

Close
JPY 1,636
RSI (14)
39.3
52-Week Range-9.0% from high
Low JPY 1,372.61High JPY 1,797

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
54
ROIC
11.2%62.6
ROE
8.9%50.2
GP/Assets
28.7%76.3
Op. Margin
5.5%38.9
FCF/Assets
0.4%30.5
Piotroski
417.1
Int. Cover
50.0x88.5
D/E Ratio
0.22x61.6
Current Ratio
1.88x57.7
Value
62
P/E (TTM)
12.8x71.4
EV/EBITDA
6.0x82.5
P/FCF
189.2x8.1
P/B
1.1x73.1
P/S
0.5x81.3
Div Yield
3.0%65.2
Momentum
55
52W High %
91%83.6
RS 6M
-20%40.5
SMA 50/200
1.08x77.3
EPS Rev 4W
-0.9%36.4
EPS Rev 12W
+2.4%70.3
EPS Improve
-19%10.7
Q Growth
34%63.3

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$288M
P/E (Forward)
15.8x
Gross Margin
22.4%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 7438.T are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
7438.TKondotec Inc.(you)$288M77Buy
6145.TNittoku Co.,Ltd.$286M84Strong Buy
6247.THisaka Works, Ltd.$286M70Buy
6272.TRheon Automatic Machinery Co., Ltd.$259M84Strong Buy
6118.TAida Engineering, Ltd.$410M79Buy
6339.TSintokogio,Ltd.$403M75Buy
6309.TTomoe Engineering Co., Ltd.$367M82Strong Buy
6333.TTeikoku Corporation$347M87Strong Buy
6143.TSodick Co., Ltd.$534M79Buy
6203.THowa Machinery, Ltd.$194M70Buy

Peer medians: ROE 9.8% · P/E 13.5x · Gross margin 24.9%

Company Deep Dive

Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.

Request Deep Dive(50 Feathers)

Kondotec Inc. (7438.T): Stock Score Summary

Kondotec Inc. (7438.T) has a MoatMap StockRank of 77/100 based on Quality (54/100), Value (62/100), and Momentum (55/100) factor scores. The current signal is BUY. Kondotec is a Japanese maker and distributor of construction fasteners, steel fixings and electrical materials. Insiders bought about 0.34% of shares in 90 days and valuation is reasonable. It is a steady, cyclical construction supplier with modest returns rather than a compounder.

Kondotec Inc. is a Japanese trading company specializing in construction materials, tools, and equipment, serving the civil engineering, construction, and disaster prevention sectors. Leveraging its extensive distribution network and long-standing supplier relationships, the company provides a wide array of essential products to construction sites nationwide. Its deep understanding of industry needs and efficient logistics are key competitive strengths.

Key Financial Metrics

PriceJPY 1,636
Market Cap$288M
P/E (TTM)12.84
P/E (Forward)15.76
Price/Book1.10
Return on Equity8.9%
Return on Invested Capital11.2%
Debt/Equity0.22x
Gross Margin22.4%
Operating Margin5.5%
Revenue Growth10.9%
Dividend Yield3.0%
Free Cash Flow$2M

Kondotec Inc. operates in the Specialty Industrial Machinery industry, part of the Industrials sector (Japan).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Kondotec Inc.’s (7438.T) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Kondotec Inc. (7438.T) is 77/100, with a Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (54), Value (62), and Momentum (55) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 24,000+ stocks.
Does Kondotec Inc. have an economic moat?
Kondotec Inc. (7438.T) has a Quality factor score of 54/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Kondotec Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Kondotec Inc. (7438.T) is Buy, based on a StockRank of 77/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Kondotec Inc. in?
Kondotec Inc. (7438.T) operates in the Industrials sector, specifically the Specialty Industrial Machinery industry (Japan).