AEE
Hot AirAmeren Corporation · Utilities · United States · $29.9B cap · $221.6M/day traded
$113.28 -0.4% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
Around its 5 Nov results, analysts left next year's EPS estimate little changed.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Ameren Corporation (AEE) is 46/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 47, Value 29, Momentum 64, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT AMEREN CORPORATION
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Ameren Corporation is a regulated utility providing electric and natural gas service to millions of customers across Missouri and Illinois. As a regional monopoly in its service territories, the company benefits from stable, predictable cash flows underpinned by regulatory frameworks. Ameren is a critical infrastructure provider, continuously investing in grid modernization and cleaner energy generation.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8.0B | 7.5B | 7.6B | 8.8B | 3.4% | 8.6B | 9.5B | 9.7B | 5.0% |
| EPS | 4.16 | 4.39 | 4.43 | 5.38 | 9.0% | 5.75 | 5.42 | 5.85 | 4.3% |
| Shares | 262.0M | 266.3M | 269.9M | 276.4M | +5.5% | 276.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 15.1B | 16.5B | 18.7B | 19.8B | 9.5% | 22.5B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 10.5B | 11.3B | 12.1B | 13.4B | 8.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 2.3B | 2.6B | 2.8B | 3.4B | 14.0% | 3.1B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -3.4B | -3.8B | -4.5B | -4.1B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 1.2B | 1.3B | 1.7B | 884.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 94% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 18% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of AEE are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEE | Ameren Corporation(you) | $29.9B | 46 |
| PPL | PPL Corporation | $26.3B | 45 |
| CNP | CenterPoint Energy, Inc. | $27.1B | 44 |
| FE | FirstEnergy Corp. | $26.7B | 52 |
| EXC | Exelon Corporation | $45.8B | 45 |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group, Inc. | $36.2B | 50 |
| PCG | PG&E Corporation | $37.9B | 40 |
| ETR | Entergy Corporation | $51.3B | 46 |
| XEL | Xcel Energy Inc. | $48.8B | 48 |
| PEG | Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated | $35.9B | 35 |
Peer medians: ROE 9.1% · P/E 20.5x · Gross margin 45.3%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.