AFCG
HoldHot AirAdvanced Flower Capital Inc. · Financial Services · United States · $68M cap · $182K/day traded
$2.99 +0.3% · close 27 Oct · scored 28 Oct
Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.
Report expected 11 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 18.4% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG) is 37/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 33, Value 43, Momentum 52, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT ADVANCED FLOWER CAPITAL INC.
Read
AFC Gamma, Inc. is a commercial real estate finance company that originates, structures, and manages senior secured loans for established cannabis operators. The company operates in a highly regulated, capital-constrained industry, allowing it to command premium interest rates and strong collateral packages on its loans. As a specialty lender structured as a REIT, it provides institutional capital to a niche market with limited traditional banking access.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 55.8M | 40.0M | 25.4M | 13.7M | -37.4% | 19.1M | 16.3M | 16.6M | 9.9% |
| EPS | 1.80 | 1.02 | 0.78 | -0.95 | -34.2% | 0.19 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 20.4M | 20.5M | 22.3M | 23.5M | +15.5% | 22.5M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 157.1M | 130.0M | 188.6M | 97.3M | -14.8% | 206.6M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 339.1M | 320.1M | 201.4M | 175.6M | -19.7% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 31.3M | 21.2M | 21.6M | 11.2M | -28.9% | -31.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -16.3M | 28.5M | -4.8M | 34.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 16.1M | -68.5M | -34.7M | -111.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 71% of stocks we rank over the past year (57% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Financial Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of AFCG are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFCG | Advanced Flower Capital Inc.(you) | $68M | 37 | Hold |
| VLT | Invesco High Income Trust II | $66M | 37 | Hold |
| OCCI | OFS Credit Company, Inc. | $69M | 36 | Hold |
| GDO | Western Asset Global Corporate Defined Opportunity Fund Inc. | $77M | 36 | Hold |
| SAMG | Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. | $79M | 36 | Hold |
| VGI | Virtus Global Multi-Sector Income Fund | $75M | 35 | Sell |
| JMM | Nuveen Multi-Market Income Fund | $53M | 36 | Hold |
| SVRN | SVRN, Inc. | $66M | 44 | Hold |
| MGF | Aberdeen Government Markets Income Fund | $89M | 35 | Sell |
| GCV | The Gabelli Convertible and Income Securities Fund Inc. | $78M | 32 | Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 9.6% · P/E 13.0x · Gross margin 75.2%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.