AGR.VI
Second WindAI neutralAGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft · Consumer Defensive · Austria · $816M cap · $132K/day traded
EUR 11.70 +1.3% · close 6 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Score up 1.2 since 6 Nov.
Second Wind: Cheap with strong momentum, but the business does not earn the optimism.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft (AGR.VI) is 72/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 37, Value 60, Momentum 70, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
AGRANA is an Austrian processor of sugar, starch, fruit preparations and ethanol, controlled by Südzucker and Raiffeisen interests. Forward earnings estimates rose by about 11% in the past month, but these are commodity-processing businesses with thin margins and earnings that swing with sugar and grain prices. Energy-intensive European plants face high gas costs this winter.
ABOUT AGRANA BETEILIGUNGS-AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
Read
AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an industrial processor of agricultural raw materials in Austria, European Union, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates in three segments: Food and Beverage Solutions, ACS-Starch, and ACS-Sugar.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (EUR)
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3.6B | 3.8B | 3.5B | 3.2B | -3.8% | 3.3B | 3.3B | 3.5B | 3.5% |
| EPS (EUR) | 0.25 | 1.04 | -0.07 | -0.64 | 316.0% | 0.01 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 62.5M | 62.5M | 62.5M | 62.5M | 0.0% | 62.5M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 820.6M | 742.4M | 660.3M | 566.4M | -11.6% | 616.5M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.1B | -3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 1.9M | 240.2M | 361.1M | 199.3M | 372.4% | 161.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -89.0M | -111.0M | -102.0M | -72.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 107.2M | -139.3M | -142.0M | -201.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 4% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 85% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 24% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of AGR.VI are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| AGR.VI | AGRANA Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft(you) | $816M | 72 |
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.