EBS
HoldUnloved QualityAI neutralEmergent BioSolutions Inc. · Healthcare · United States · $319M cap · $6.8M/day traded
$6.34 +1.8% · close 26 Oct · scored 27 Oct
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap; the market has not turned yet.
As of 27 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Emergent BioSolutions Inc. (EBS) is 65/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 54, Value 73, Momentum 32, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Emergent BioSolutions makes anthrax and smallpox vaccines for government stockpiles and the NARCAN opioid overdose nasal spray. It has been stabilising after a period of financial trouble, repurchasing $75 million of senior notes, winning a roughly $24 million contract modification for its anthrax vaccine and a Canadian standing offer for NARCAN. Revenue still depends heavily on government procurement cycles, and NARCAN faces growing generic competition.
ABOUT EMERGENT BIOSOLUTIONS INC.
Read
Emergent BioSolutions Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company focused on providing specialized products that address public health threats, including medical countermeasures and vaccines. The company develops, manufactures, and commercializes products for anthrax, smallpox, and opioid overdose, serving government agencies and commercial markets. Its unique focus on biodefense and public health readiness establishes a niche market leadership with long-term government contracts.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.1B | 1.0B | 1.0B | 705.2M | -13.1% | 770.2M | 623.7M | 667.6M | -2.7% |
| EPS | -4.47 | -14.85 | -3.60 | 0.98 | — | -3.40 | 0.61 | — | -37.9% |
| Shares | 50.1M | 52.2M | 54.3M | 52.1M | +4.0% | 51.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.4B | 860.2M | 663.7M | 572.1M | -25.9% | 588.2M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 1.4B | 649.3M | 482.8M | 522.6M | -27.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -34.1M | -206.3M | 58.7M | 170.6M | 190.6% | 97.7M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -381.3M | 212.3M | 125.2M | 69.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 481.2M | -535.7M | -190.0M | -136.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
45% above its 52-week low and back above a rising 50-day average since 22 Oct 2026.
The Momentum score still reads 32: it weighs six months of price and earnings revisions, so it trails a turn like this.
Swung more than 88% of stocks we rank over the past year (79% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Healthcare, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of EBS are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EBS | Emergent BioSolutions Inc.(you) | $319M | 65 | Hold |
| ANIK | Anika Therapeutics, Inc. | $287M | 65 | Buy |
| EOLS | Evolus, Inc. | $463M | 48 | Hold |
| TKNO | Alpha Teknova, Inc. | $396M | 36 | Hold |
| PAHC | Phibro Animal Health Corporation | $1.6B | 63 | Hold |
| COLL | Collegium Pharmaceutical, Inc. | $747M | 82 | Strong Buy |
| CL.CN | Cresco Labs Inc. | $219M | 36 | Hold |
| ETON | Eton Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | $1.4B | 59 | Hold |
| LFCR | Lifecore Biomedical, Inc. | $243M | 31 | Sell |
| SIGA | SIGA Technologies, Inc. | $224M | 32 | Sell |
Peer medians: ROE -30.1% · P/E 27.2x · Gross margin 63.4%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.