EXPD
Strong BuyPremium GrowerAI pickExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. · Industrials · United States · $25.5B cap · $224.6M/day traded
$196.43 +0.1% · close 26 Oct · scored 27 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Read our full research report on EXPD (Oct 2026), freeReport expected 3 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 15.4% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 27 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) is 90/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 83, Value 27, Momentum 81, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Expeditors is an asset-light global freight forwarder and customs broker: it buys space on ships and planes rather than owning them, which lets it earn from supply-chain disruption without carrying the capital and overcapacity cycle of the carriers. It has high returns on capital, a debt-free balance sheet, a long record of returning cash through buybacks and dividends, and a disciplined, cost-conscious culture. Rerouting around Middle East chokepoints, falling schedule reliability and an early peak season increase demand for the complex routing and customs work it specialises in, and its latest quarter was strong, led by air freight. The valuation is not cheap, but it is a self-funded business in a period of high interest rates.
ABOUT EXPEDITORS INTERNATIONAL OF WASHINGTON, INC.
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Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. is a global logistics company providing freight forwarding, supply chain management, and customs brokerage services through a worldwide network. The company's competitive advantage stems from its asset-light business model, proprietary information systems, and a strong reputation for high-touch customer service and expertise in navigating complex global supply chains.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 17.1B | 9.3B | 10.6B | 11.1B | -13.4% | 12.0B | 13.2B | 13.3B | 9.6% |
| EPS | 8.33 | 5.05 | 5.75 | 5.97 | -10.5% | 6.87 | 7.92 | 8.23 | 17.4% |
| Shares | 154.3M | 143.9M | 138.0M | 133.9M | -13.2% | 130.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 518.5M | 527.7M | 568.9M | 570.6M | 3.2% | 567.3M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 3.1B | 2.4B | 2.2B | 2.4B | -8.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 2.1B | 1.1B | 723.4M | 1.0B | -22.1% | 972.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -87.7M | -39.4M | -40.5M | -44.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -1.7B | -1.5B | -1.0B | -802.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 2% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 71% of stocks we rank over the past year (31% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of EXPD are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPD | Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.(you) | $25.5B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | $21.2B | 52 | Hold |
| FDX | FedEx Corporation | $70.7B | 68 | Buy |
| UPS | United Parcel Service, Inc. | $86.0B | 68 | Buy |
| CHRW | C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. | $16.3B | 49 | Hold |
| PBI | Pitney Bowes Inc. | $2.4B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| LSTR | Landstar System, Inc. | $5.6B | 64 | Hold |
| FDXF | FedEx Freight Holding Company, Inc. | $16.5B | 34 | Sell |
| GXO | GXO Logistics, Inc. | $5.6B | 30 | Sell |
| HUBG | Hub Group, Inc. | $1.6B | 48 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 8.8% · P/E 25.9x · Gross margin 29.3%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.