FCG.NZ

Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutral

Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited · Consumer Defensive · New Zealand · $6.7B

NZD 4.91 +2.7% · close 6 Oct · scored 7 Oct

Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.

98
StockRank
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Quality
55
Value
76
Momentum
80

Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →

P/E (TTM)
8.8x
peers 9.6x
ROE
18.4%
peers 9.9%
D/E
0.5x
peers 0.3x
Dividend %
7.4%
trailing yield
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Fonterra Co-operative Group is the world's largest dairy exporter, controlling a substantial share of global whole milk powder and dairy ingredient trade. Despite solid demand in international markets, the cooperative capital structure prioritizes farmgate milk prices paid to farmer-shareholders over public equity returns, constraining sustainable free cash flow compound interest for outside investors.

ABOUT FONTERRA CO-OPERATIVE GROUP LIMITED

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Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, collects, manufactures, and sells milk and milk-derived products. The company offers whole and skim milk powders, cream, yoghurt, butter, and cheese products.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (NZD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM
Revenue21.9B24.6B20.4B24.1B3.3%25.5B
EPS (NZD)0.200.530.450.4329.4%0.54
Shares2.9B2.9B2.4B2.4B-17.1%2.4B
Debt5.3B4.0B3.4B3.2B-15.7%2.9B
Equity6.9B7.9B8.1B8.2B5.9%—
Op CF-104.0M3.5B2.3B2.0B-25.4%2.7B
Inv CF-517.0M132.0M-711.0M-698.0M——
Fin CF-56.0M-2.2B-2.9B-1.4B——
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y) · NZD+9.6%
4.54.64.74.84.925 Aug16 Sep6 Oct
SMA 50SMA 200

Price checkExperimental
SwingsVery calm

Calmer than 94% of stocks we rank over the past year (17% a year).

How this is worked out

What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.

What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.

Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.

Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.

Close
NZD 4.91
RSI (14)
86.9
52-Week Range-0.2% from high
Low NZD 3.56High NZD 4.92

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
55
ROIC
14.1%67.7
ROE
18.4%81.7
GP/Assets
21.6%37.4
Op. Margin
7.4%52.6
FCF/Assets
7.2%68.9
Piotroski
649.8
Int. Cover
7.9x43.8
D/E Ratio
0.46x43.5
Current Ratio
1.19x31.2
Value
76
P/E (TTM)
8.8x85.4
EV/EBITDA
5.3x82.8
P/FCF
9.4x72.0
P/B
1.8x45.0
P/S
0.4x74.6
Div Yield
7.4%92.0
Momentum
80
52W High %
100%99.7
RS 6M
24%91.2
SMA 50/200
1.07x77.6
EPS Rev 4W
—N/A
EPS Rev 12W
—N/A
EPS Improve
—N/A
Q Growth
—N/A

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$6.7B
P/E (Forward)
—
Gross Margin
14.9%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of FCG.NZ are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
FCG.NZFonterra Co-operative Group Limited(you)$6.7B98Strong Buy
A2M.AXThe a2 Milk Company Limited$3.4B58Hold
SCL.NZScales Corporation Limited$550M67Buy
CVT.NZComvita Limited$58M92Strong Buy
SML.NZSynlait Milk Limited$133M18Strong Sell
SEK.NZSeeka Limited$131M96Strong Buy
SAN.NZSanford Limited$348M76Buy
LIC.NZLivestock Improvement Corporation Limited$92M98Strong Buy
DGL.NZDelegat Group Limited$254M75Buy
NZK.NZNew Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited$73M71Buy

Peer medians: ROE 9.9% · P/E 9.6x · Gross margin 34.8%

Company Deep Dive

Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.

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Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (FCG.NZ): Stock Score Summary

Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (FCG.NZ) has a MoatMap StockRank of 98/100 based on Quality (55/100), Value (76/100), and Momentum (80/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. Fonterra Co-operative Group is the world's largest dairy exporter, controlling a substantial share of global whole milk powder and dairy ingredient trade. Despite solid demand in international markets, the cooperative capital structure prioritizes farmgate milk prices paid to farmer-shareholders over public equity returns, constraining sustainable free cash flow compound interest for outside investors.

Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, collects, manufactures, and sells milk and milk-derived products. The company offers whole and skim milk powders, cream, yoghurt, butter, and cheese products.

Key Financial Metrics

PriceNZD 4.91
Market Cap$6.7B
P/E (TTM)8.78
Price/Book1.84
Return on Equity18.4%
Return on Invested Capital14.1%
Debt/Equity0.46x
Gross Margin14.9%
Operating Margin7.4%
Revenue Growth46.6%
Dividend Yield7.4%
Free Cash Flow$709M

Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited operates in the Packaged Foods industry, part of the Consumer Defensive sector (New Zealand).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited’s (FCG.NZ) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (FCG.NZ) is 98/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (55), Value (76), and Momentum (80) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 24,000+ stocks.
Does Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited have an economic moat?
Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (FCG.NZ) has a Quality factor score of 55/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (FCG.NZ) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 98/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited in?
Fonterra Co-operative Group Limited (FCG.NZ) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Packaged Foods industry (New Zealand).