GCMG
Strong BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralGCM Grosvenor Inc. · Financial Services · United States · $756M cap · $5.3M/day traded
$12.10 -1.0% · close 27 Oct · scored 28 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Report expected 5 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 2.1% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 28 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for GCM Grosvenor Inc. (GCMG) is 81/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 75, Value 49, Momentum 54, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
GCM Grosvenor is an alternative asset manager with about $97 billion under management across private equity, infrastructure, real estate, credit and hedge fund solutions, and it reported fee-related earnings up 21% and adjusted net income up 22% last quarter. The model is asset-light and fee-based, and growing private credit and secondary markets are tailwinds. However, it is smaller than the leading private markets firms, a large share of economics is controlled by insiders through its structure, and there has been some insider selling. The growth is good but not clearly mispriced.
ABOUT GCM GROSVENOR INC.
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GCM Grosvenor is a leading global alternative asset management firm specializing in customized portfolios across private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit. The company manages assets for sophisticated institutional investors, utilizing its extensive co-investment and direct investment capabilities. Its long-term, locked-in capital structures and deep relationships with global asset allocators provide highly predictable fee-related earnings.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 452.5M | 452.0M | 523.5M | 565.6M | 7.7% | 566.9M | 592.2M | 680.1M | 9.7% |
| EPS | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.87 | 24.6% | 0.53 | 0.93 | 1.11 | 13.1% |
| Shares | 41.8M | 43.0M | 44.9M | 60.7M | +45.2% | 61.1M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 403.1M | 426.2M | 485.9M | 480.2M | 6.0% | 416.4M | — | — | — |
| Equity | -19.8M | -27.6M | -27.6M | 27.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 216.5M | 92.1M | 148.8M | 183.5M | -5.4% | 198.1M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -10.1M | -18.8M | -31.8M | -26.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -215.1M | -113.7M | -70.4M | -4.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 63% of stocks we rank over the past year (35% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Financial Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GCMG are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GCMG | GCM Grosvenor Inc.(you) | $756M | 81 | Strong Buy |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. | $970M | 68 | Buy |
| NCV | Virtus Convertible & Income Fund | $374M | 76 | Buy |
| SPXX | Nuveen S&P 500 Dynamic Overwrite Fund | $331M | 78 | Buy |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. | $790M | 59 | Hold |
| JFR | Nuveen Floating Rate Income Fund | $1.2B | 68 | Buy |
| GQG.AX | GQG Partners Inc. | $2.1B | 78 | Buy |
| MCI | Barings Corporate Investors | $356M | 70 | Buy |
| TEI | Templeton Emerging Markets Income Fund | $286M | 75 | Buy |
| WIW | Western Asset Inflation-Linked Opportunities & Income Fund | $507M | 62 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 9.6% · P/E 13.0x · Gross margin 75.7%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.