GENI
Hot AirGenius Sports Limited · Communication Services · United Kingdom · $1.7B cap · $46.2M/day traded
$6.38 +0.5% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Genius Sports Limited (GENI) is 39/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 39, Value 38, Momentum 54, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT GENIUS SPORTS LIMITED
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Genius Sports Limited is a global leader in official sports data, technology, and commercialization services for the sports, betting, and media industries. The company's competitive moat is established through exclusive, long-term data rights agreements with major sports leagues like the NFL and Premier League. It operates as a critical, vertically integrated B2B partner at the intersection of sports and digital entertainment.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 341.0M | 413.0M | 510.9M | 669.5M | 25.2% | 893.8M | 1.0B | 1.3B | 38.5% |
| EPS | -0.91 | -0.38 | -0.27 | -0.44 | — | -0.61 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 205.8M | 209.1M | 211.2M | 246.3M | +19.7% | 267.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 21.2M | 14.7M | 7.5M | 30.5M | 12.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Equity | 576.8M | 573.0M | 572.4M | 724.5M | 7.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -3.5M | 14.9M | 81.9M | 86.4M | 141.0% | 21.1M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -54.8M | -47.6M | -62.7M | -92.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -21.0K | -0.6M | -7.6M | 144.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
No new 52-week low for 29 weeks, 66% above that low, but not back above a rising 50-day average.
The Momentum score still reads 54: it looks back six months, so it has not caught up with this fall.
Swung more than 86% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 75% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Communication Services, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GENI are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| GENI | Genius Sports Limited(you) | $1.7B | 39 |
| ATG.L | Auction Technology Group plc | $777M | 36 |
| AUTO.L | Autotrader Group plc | $4.8B | 71 |
| BBSN.L | Brave Bison Group plc | $114M | 43 |
| MONY.L | MONY Group plc | $1.4B | 95 |
| TIG.L | Team Internet Group plc | $113M | 31 |
| RMV.L | Rightmove plc | $5.2B | 85 |
| HTWS.L | Helios Towers plc | $2.8B | 36 |
| GANA.L | Gana Media Group PLC | $26M | 2 |
| ITV.L | ITV plc | $3.1B | 52 |
Peer medians: ROE 5.7% · P/E 16.7x · Gross margin 47.3%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.