GMD.AX
Strong BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralGenesis Minerals Limited · Basic Materials · Australia · $6.3B
AUD 7.07 +0.0% · close 6 Oct · scored 7 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
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Genesis Minerals has grown into a sizeable Western Australian gold producer and a proposed merger would create a top-tier Australian gold miner, with the parties citing about A$2 billion of synergies and more processing capacity. Quality scores are high for a miner and institutions hold about 68% of the shares. Insider filings are mixed, with purchases of about 3.9% of shares and sales of about 2.5% in 90 days. Returns still depend on the gold price and on integrating the merger.
ABOUT GENESIS MINERALS LIMITED
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Genesis Minerals Limited is an Australian gold exploration and development company focused on advancing its significant gold projects in Western Australia, particularly the Ulysses Gold Project. It benefits from strategic landholdings in highly prospective gold regions, leveraging established infrastructure and geological knowledge. Genesis is a pure-play gold exploration and development company, rapidly advancing projects in a tier-one mining jurisdiction with a focus on resource growth.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (AUD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 77.0M | 438.6M | 920.1M | 245.8% | 1.7B | 973.0M | 1.1B | 6.4% |
| EPS (AUD) | -0.04 | -0.30 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 161.9% | 0.53 | 0.23 | 0.31 | 15.1% |
| Shares | 1.1B | 1.0B | 1.1B | 1.1B | -1.0% | 1.2B | — | — | — |
| Debt | — | 11.4M | 45.2M | 200.9M | 320.7% | 302.7M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 28.6M | 838.2M | 991.4M | 1.3B | 252.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -16.8M | -37.6M | 136.2M | 420.7M | 208.8% | 934.8M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.1M | -360.3M | -177.1M | -442.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 23.1M | 563.3M | 30.6M | 90.2M | — | — | — | — | — |
Swung more than 78% of stocks we rank over the past year (63% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GMD.AX are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GMD.AX | Genesis Minerals Limited(you) | $6.3B | 94 | Strong Buy |
| PRU.TO | Perseus Mining Limited | $6.2B | 97 | Strong Buy |
| GGP.L | Greatland Resources Limited | $5.2B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| VAU.AX | Vault Minerals Limited | $4.6B | 97 | Strong Buy |
| RMS.AX | Ramelius Resources Limited | $5.2B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| WGX.TO | Westgold Resources Limited | $3.7B | 95 | Strong Buy |
| RRL.AX | Regis Resources Limited | $4.1B | 99 | Strong Buy |
| CMM.AX | Capricorn Metals Ltd | $4.9B | 84 | Strong Buy |
| EMR.AX | Emerald Resources NL | $3.3B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| WAF.AX | West African Resources Limited | $2.9B | 98 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE -7.1% · P/E 12.9x · Gross margin 99.9%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.