HRL
HoldHot AirHormel Foods Corporation · Consumer Defensive · United States · $11.6B cap · $109.4M/day traded
$20.61 -1.2% · close 28 Oct · scored 29 Oct
Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.
As of 29 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) is 44/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 38, Value 46, Momentum 53, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT HORMEL FOODS CORPORATION
Read
Hormel Foods Corporation is a global branded food company offering a diverse portfolio of consumer products, including fresh meats, prepared foods, and nut butters, under well-known brands like SPAM, Jennie-O, and Skippy. Its competitive moat stems from strong brand recognition, extensive distribution networks, and a focus on product innovation to meet evolving consumer preferences. Hormel Foods is a leading player in the packaged food industry, known for its consistent performance and ability to adapt to market trends.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 12.5B | 12.1B | 11.9B | 12.1B | -1.0% | 12.1B | 12.1B | 12.4B | 1.0% |
| EPS | 1.84 | 1.45 | 1.47 | 0.87 | -22.1% | 0.62 | 0.94 | 0.99 | 6.9% |
| Shares | 546.2M | 546.6M | 548.6M | 550.1M | +0.7% | 550.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 3.3B | 3.3B | 2.9B | 2.9B | -4.7% | 2.9B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 7.5B | 7.7B | 8.0B | 7.9B | 1.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 1.1B | 1.0B | 1.3B | 845.3M | -9.4% | 1.1B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -258.0M | -689.5M | -236.9M | -298.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -486.7M | -600.1M | -1.0B | -614.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 12 trading days ago, 21% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
The Momentum score still reads 53: it looks back six months, so it has not caught up with this fall.
Calmer than 73% of stocks we rank over the past year (30% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of HRL are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HRL | Hormel Foods Corporation(you) | $11.6B | 44 | Hold |
| MKC-V | McCormick & Company, Incorporated | $13.0B | 43 | Hold |
| DAR | Darling Ingredients Inc. | $8.9B | 50 | Hold |
| PPC | Pilgrim's Pride Corporation | $6.7B | 41 | Hold |
| GIS | General Mills, Inc. | $18.4B | 38 | Hold |
| CAG | Conagra Brands, Inc. | $7.1B | 37 | Hold |
| SJM | The J. M. Smucker Company | $13.9B | 60 | Hold |
| CPB | The Campbell's Company | $6.2B | 53 | Hold |
| KHC | The Kraft Heinz Company | $29.4B | 52 | Hold |
| LW | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. | $7.4B | 62 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 10.0% · P/E 21.7x · Gross margin 35.0%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.