MGR.AX
Strong BuyFull HouseAI screen passMirvac Group · Real Estate · Australia · $4.8B
AUD 1.76 -1.1% · close 5 Oct · scored 6 Oct
StockRank down 1.2 since 3 Oct.
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Screen-pass. Mirvac Group: Q54/V64/M63, every leg clears the 50 floor; corroborated by active buyback (4 filing days, 0.71% o/s repurchased). Nothing adverse known: no net insider selling and no negative forward-EPS revision (consensus +14.5% over ~4 weeks, not counted as corroboration). A light-tier screen-pass, not a high-conviction pick.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT MIRVAC GROUP
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Mirvac Group is a leading integrated Australian property group with diverse interests spanning residential, retail, office, and industrial sectors. The company is involved in the development, investment, and management of high-quality real estate assets, leveraging its strong brand reputation and sustainable development practices. Its vertically integrated model and diversified portfolio provide resilience and a strong market position in the Australian property sector.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (AUD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.2B | 1.8B | 3.0B | 2.4B | 2.8% | 3.0B | 3.7B | 4.0B | 17.6% |
| EPS (AUD) | 0.23 | -0.04 | -0.20 | 0.02 | -58.0% | 0.17 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 4.0% |
| Shares | 3.9B | 3.9B | 3.9B | 3.9B | +0.1% | 3.9B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 4.3B | 4.5B | 4.5B | 4.5B | 1.9% | 3.9B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 11.1B | 10.6B | 9.4B | 9.1B | -6.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 896.0M | -57.0M | 542.0M | 550.0M | -15.0% | 874.2M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -436.0M | -322.0M | 126.0M | -155.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -19.0M | -57.0M | -455.0M | -494.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
Calmer than 85% of stocks we rank over the past year (24% a year).
How this is worked out
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MGR.AX are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGR.AX | Mirvac Group(you) | $4.8B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| GPT.AX | The GPT Group | $6.0B | 70 | Buy |
| CHC.AX | Charter Hall Group | $6.0B | 61 | Hold |
| SGP.AX | Stockland | $7.1B | 60 | Hold |
| CLW.AX | Charter Hall Long WALE REIT | $1.7B | 57 | Hold |
| HMC.AX | HMC Capital Limited | $902M | 59 | Hold |
| GMG.AX | Goodman Group | $38.0B | 62 | Hold |
| ABG.AX | Abacus Group | $513M | 60 | Hold |
| CNI.AX | Centuria Capital Group | $888M | 44 | Hold |
| TOT.AX | 360 Capital REIT | $62M | 71 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.1% · P/E 9.4x · Gross margin 71.1%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.