POSTI.HE

Strong BuySecond WindAI neutral

Posti Group Oyj · Industrials · Finland · $618M

EUR 13.16 -0.6% · close 5 Oct · scored 7 Oct

Second Wind: Cheap and rising again, but the business does not yet earn the optimism.

82
StockRank
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Quality
45
Value
61
Momentum
70

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P/E (TTM)
18.6x
peers 21.8x
ROE
11.4%
peers 10.7%
D/E
2.2x
peers 0.6x
Dividend %
3.2%
trailing yield
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Posti is Finland's postal and logistics operator, with parcels and e-commerce logistics offsetting a long decline in letter volumes. The company is buying back shares, but analysts have trimmed earnings forecasts, local news points to ongoing restructuring talks and branch closures, and the business is labour- and fuel-intensive with limited pricing power.

ABOUT POSTI GROUP OYJ

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Posti Group Oyj is the state-owned national postal and logistics service provider in Finland, offering mail delivery, parcel logistics, and fulfillment services. Its competitive moat is anchored by an unmatched nationwide physical distribution network and dominant market share in Finnish e-commerce logistics. The company is a vertically integrated logistics giant transitioning from traditional mail to digital and parcel-led growth.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (EUR)

Year20242025TTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue1.5B1.4B1.5B1.5B1.5B1.6%
EPS (EUR)1.100.590.710.640.8519.7%
Shares40.5M40.5M40.3M———
Debt368.2M573.5M563.5M———
Equity282.1M276.9M————
Op CF148.6M111.2M147.0M———
Inv CF-77.3M-55.9M————
Fin CF-73.9M-76.2M————
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y) · EUR+7.0%
12.312.613.013.313.625 Aug15 Sep5 Oct
SMA 50SMA 200

Price checkExperimental
SwingsCalm

Calmer than 85% of stocks we rank over the past year (24% a year).

How this is worked out

What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.

What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.

Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.

Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.

Close
EUR 13.16
RSI (14)
39.0
52W High
EUR 13.80
From 52W High
-4.6%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
45
ROIC
7.6%44.6
ROE
11.4%61.7
GP/Assets
38.1%86.9
Op. Margin
2.8%26.0
FCF/Assets
3.4%52.6
Piotroski
534.6
Int. Cover
2.9x27.1
D/E Ratio
2.22x5.6
Current Ratio
0.68x4.4
Value
61
P/E (TTM)
18.6x51.8
EV/EBITDA
9.3x62.5
P/FCF
14.3x64.0
P/B
2.1x46.5
P/S
0.4x87.6
Div Yield
3.2%67.2
Momentum
70
52W High %
95%90.8
RS 6M
45%90.6
SMA 50/200
1.27x94.6
EPS Rev 4W
-2.4%22.3
EPS Rev 12W
+6.2%85.7
EPS Improve
+73%62.1
Q Growth
-32%15.9

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$618M
P/E (Forward)
10.8x
Gross Margin
30.0%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of POSTI.HE are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
POSTI.HEPosti Group Oyj(you)$618M82Strong Buy
VIK1V.HEViking Line Abp$392M84Strong Buy
SCANFL.HEScanfil Oyj$903M75Buy
FIA1S.HEFinnair Oyj$1.1B87Strong Buy
KREATE.HEKreate Group Oyj$375M95Strong Buy
ENENTO.HEEnento Group Oyj$409M66Buy
ASPO.HEAspo Oyj$254M88Strong Buy
PON1V.HEPonsse Oyj$762M59Hold
LASTIK.HELassila & Tikanoja Plc$284M70Buy
ETTE.HEEtteplan Oyj$235M73Buy

Peer medians: ROE 10.7% · P/E 21.8x · Gross margin 29.9%

Company Deep Dive

Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.

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Posti Group Oyj (POSTI.HE): Stock Score Summary

Posti Group Oyj (POSTI.HE) has a MoatMap StockRank of 82/100 based on Quality (45/100), Value (61/100), and Momentum (70/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. Posti is Finland's postal and logistics operator, with parcels and e-commerce logistics offsetting a long decline in letter volumes. The company is buying back shares, but analysts have trimmed earnings forecasts, local news points to ongoing restructuring talks and branch closures, and the business is labour- and fuel-intensive with limited pricing power.

Posti Group Oyj is the state-owned national postal and logistics service provider in Finland, offering mail delivery, parcel logistics, and fulfillment services. Its competitive moat is anchored by an unmatched nationwide physical distribution network and dominant market share in Finnish e-commerce logistics. The company is a vertically integrated logistics giant transitioning from traditional mail to digital and parcel-led growth.

Key Financial Metrics

PriceEUR 13.16
Market Cap$618M
P/E (TTM)18.65
P/E (Forward)10.81
Price/Book2.12
Return on Equity11.4%
Return on Invested Capital7.6%
Debt/Equity2.22x
Gross Margin30.0%
Operating Margin2.8%
Revenue Growth1.6%
Dividend Yield3.2%
Free Cash Flow$43M

Posti Group Oyj operates in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, part of the Industrials sector (Finland).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Posti Group Oyj’s (POSTI.HE) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Posti Group Oyj (POSTI.HE) is 82/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (45), Value (61), and Momentum (70) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 24,000+ stocks.
Does Posti Group Oyj have an economic moat?
Posti Group Oyj (POSTI.HE) has a Quality factor score of 45/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Posti Group Oyj a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Posti Group Oyj (POSTI.HE) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 82/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Posti Group Oyj in?
Posti Group Oyj (POSTI.HE) operates in the Industrials sector, specifically the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry (Finland).