RSKD
BuyHot AirAI concernRiskified Ltd. · Technology · United States · $1.2B cap · $22.5M/day traded
$9.22 +0.8% · close 26 Oct · scored 27 Oct
StockRank down 2.4 since 24 Oct.
Hot Air: Rising on momentum alone: weak business, rich price.
Strong on the numbers, but the AI review named a specific concern. Its reason is in the AI review below.
Report expected 11 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 5.9% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 27 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Riskified Ltd. (RSKD) is 66/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 49, Value 31, Momentum 81, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Riskified provides AI-based fraud prevention and chargeback guarantees for online merchants, and revenue growth accelerated to 22% in the second quarter, sending the shares up about 20%. Against that, insiders have sold about 5.9% of the company's shares over the past 90 days, a very heavy level of selling that signals major holders are using the rally to exit, and the company's history of thin or negative profits leaves the recent re-rating resting on the durability of one strong quarter.
ABOUT RISKIFIED LTD.
Read
Riskified Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, develops and offers an e-commerce risk intelligent platform that allows online merchants to create trusted relationships with consumers in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and the Americas.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 261.2M | 297.6M | 327.5M | 344.6M | 9.7% | 368.2M | 406.7M | 452.3M | 14.6% |
| EPS | -0.62 | -0.33 | -0.20 | -0.18 | — | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 171.0M | 175.5M | 161.2M | 148.2M | -13.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Debt | 37.4M | 31.3M | 27.5M | 25.0M | -12.6% | 23.5M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 494.4M | 491.7M | 382.3M | 294.8M | -15.8% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -26.3M | 7.3M | 39.7M | 33.9M | 115.7% | 47.3M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -210.0M | 251.6M | 27.8M | -132.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 3.9M | -9.3M | -136.8M | -110.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and at its 52-week high.
Swung more than 55% of stocks we rank over the past year (45% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of RSKD are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSKD | Riskified Ltd.(you) | $1.2B | 66 | Buy |
| IBTA | Ibotta, Inc. | $1.1B | 70 | Buy |
| PUBM | PubMatic, Inc. | $785M | 67 | Buy |
| APPS | Digital Turbine, Inc. | $1.2B | 55 | Hold |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | $779M | 69 | Buy |
| EVCM | EverCommerce Inc. | $1.6B | 58 | Hold |
| CXM | Sprinklr, Inc. | $1.6B | 77 | Buy |
| DJCO | Daily Journal Corporation | $817M | 55 | Hold |
| OOMA | Ooma, Inc. | $546M | 70 | Buy |
| RDVT | Red Violet, Inc. | $1.3B | 86 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 4.9% · P/E 32.5x · Gross margin 52.4%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.