TDM.VN
Hot AirThu Dau Mot Water Joint Stock Company · Utilities · Vietnam · $281M cap · $8K/day traded
VND 59,000 +0.0% · close 6 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Thu Dau Mot Water Joint Stock Company (TDM.VN) is 32/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 48, Value 11, Momentum 64, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT THU DAU MOT WATER JOINT STOCK COMPANY
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Thu Dau Mot Water Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, engages in producing and supplying treated water in Vietnam.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (VND)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 478.9B | 532.6B | 544.4B | 506.1B | 1.9% | 472.2B | 363.0B | 408.0B | -10.2% |
| EPS (VND) | 1,928 | 2,479 | 1,697 | 1,704 | -4.0% | 1,613 | 1,584 | 1,841 | 3.9% |
| Shares | 105.2M | 102.6M | 112.8M | 113.9M | +8.3% | 122.2M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 256.1B | 267.2B | 379.7B | 675.7B | 38.2% | 860.4B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 2.0T | 2.0T | 2.5T | 2.6T | 8.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 119.4B | 340.8B | 523.0B | 139.8B | 5.4% | 334.6B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 58.6B | -145.4B | -632.2B | -431.7B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -230.6B | -118.9B | 263.2B | 164.6B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 7% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 78% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 27% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of TDM.VN are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| TDM.VN | Thu Dau Mot Water Joint Stock Company(you) | $281M | 32 |
| GEG.VN | Gia Lai Electricity Joint Stock Company | $171M | 64 |
| NT2.VN | PetroVietnam Power Nhon Trach 2 Joint Stock Company | $253M | 99 |
| PPC.VN | Pha Lai Thermal Power Joint Stock Company | $109M | 85 |
| VSH.VN | Vinh Son - Song Hinh Hydropower Joint Stock Company | $375M | 98 |
| CHP.VN | Central Hydropower Joint Stock Company | $159M | 99 |
| POW.VN | PetroVietnam Power Corporation - JSC | $1.5B | 84 |
Peer medians: ROE 17.6% · P/E 11.5x · Gross margin 34.0%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.