UAL
BuyUnloved QualityAI neutralUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc. · Industrials · United States · $31.8B cap · $464.1M/day traded
$97.93 -4.0% · close 23 Oct · scored 24 Oct
StockRank down 2.4 since 23 Oct: Momentum down 3 after a 4% price fall.
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap; the market has not turned yet.
Reported 21 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate fell 5.5% across the report (snapshots of 18 Oct and 25 Oct).
As of 24 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) is 66/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 54, Value 68, Momentum 38, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
United Airlines has a strong international network and loyalty programme, and analysts at Redburn remain positive. It is buying back shares and has taken delivery of more fuel-efficient engines. However, airlines are capital-intensive, cyclical and highly exposed to fuel prices. With crude near $100 and jet fuel tracking record diesel prices, fuel costs are rising, and forward estimates were cut 4.3% in the past month. Insiders have also been small net sellers.
ABOUT UNITED AIRLINES HOLDINGS, INC.
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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. is a major American airline providing air transportation services for passengers and cargo worldwide through extensive domestic and international route networks. As one of the largest global airlines, it benefits from valuable airport slot allocations, extensive hub-and-spoke networks, and participation in the Star Alliance, which provides broad reach and customer loyalty. United is a legacy carrier with a significant global presence, continuously investing in fleet modernization and service.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 45.0B | 53.7B | 57.1B | 59.1B | 9.5% | 65.6B | 68.7B | 73.4B | 11.5% |
| EPS | 2.25 | 7.98 | 9.60 | 10.32 | 66.0% | 10.92 | 6.96 | 11.62 | 6.1% |
| Shares | 326.9M | 328.0M | 327.9M | 323.5M | -1.1% | 324.9M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 36.4B | 36.7B | 33.6B | 31.0B | -5.2% | 34.3B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 6.9B | 9.3B | 12.7B | 15.3B | 30.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 6.1B | 6.9B | 9.4B | 8.4B | 11.6% | 8.2B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -13.8B | -6.1B | -2.7B | -6.3B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -3.3B | -1.9B | -4.2B | -4.9B | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 61% of stocks we rank over the past year (48% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of UAL are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings, Inc.(you) | $31.8B | 66 | Buy |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines, Inc. | $50.5B | 60 | Hold |
| LUV | Southwest Airlines Co. | $20.4B | 44 | Hold |
| SKYW | SkyWest, Inc. | $3.6B | 68 | Buy |
| AAL | American Airlines Group Inc. | $8.0B | 30 | Sell |
| RJET | Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | $793M | 53 | Hold |
| ALGT | Allegiant Travel Company | $1.8B | 30 | Sell |
| ALK | Alaska Air Group, Inc. | $3.8B | 15 | Strong Sell |
| EME | EMCOR Group, Inc. | $28.6B | 63 | Hold |
| VRSK | Verisk Analytics, Inc. | $25.5B | 69 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.9% · P/E 25.9x · Gross margin 29.2%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.