002103.SZ
Fallen FavouriteGuangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd. · Industrials · China · $512M cap · $17.6M/day traded
CNY 6.43 -2.0% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd. (002103.SZ) is 34/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 60, Value 31, Momentum 33, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT GUANGBO GROUP STOCK CO., LTD.
Read
Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes stationery, office supplies, and paper products, while also operating a cross-border e-commerce business. The company is a household brand in China's stationery market, leveraging a vast domestic retail network and strong export channels. Its competitive advantage lies in its brand equity, automated production facilities, and strategic expansion into digital marketing and e-commerce logistics.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (CNY)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.5B | 2.7B | 2.8B | 2.7B | 3.4% | 3.0B |
| EPS (CNY) | -0.07 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.31 | -1.6% | 0.18 |
| Shares | 534.3M | 534.3M | 534.3M | 534.3M | 0.0% | 534.3M |
| Debt | 536.3M | 384.4M | 344.3M | 381.5M | -10.7% | 327.0M |
| Equity | 774.6M | 943.2M | 1.1B | 1.2B | 16.9% | — |
| Op CF | 254.8M | 459.5M | 216.5M | 167.8M | -13.0% | 248.6M |
| Inv CF | 34.9M | -330.0M | -263.2M | -169.0M | — | — |
| Fin CF | -185.1M | -28.4M | -133.4M | -27.9M | — | — |
No new 52-week low for 18 weeks, 14% above that low, but not back above a rising 50-day average.
Calmer than 57% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 38% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor (this stock): It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend: It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 002103.SZ are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 002103.SZ | Guangbo Group Stock Co., Ltd.(you) | $512M | 34 |
| 300729.SZ | Loctek Ergonomic Technology Corp. | $549M | 42 |
| 301187.SZ | Suzhou Alton Electrical & Mechanical Industry Co., Ltd. | $552M | 23 |
| 002376.SZ | Shandong New Beiyang Information Technology Co., Ltd. | $948M | 42 |
| 002301.SZ | Shenzhen Comix Group Co., Ltd. | $760M | 49 |
| 603106.SS | Cashway Fintech Co.,Ltd. | $570M | 11 |
| 300546.SZ | Shenzhen Emperor Technology Co., Ltd. | $468M | 10 |
| 300551.SZ | Shanghai Guao Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. | $532M | 8 |
| 002177.SZ | Guangzhou Kingteller Technology Co.,Ltd. | $630M | 10 |
| 300689.SZ | Shenzhen Chengtian Weiye Technology Co., Ltd. | $870M | 14 |
Peer medians: ROE 5.3% · P/E 28.6x · Gross margin 21.9%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.