Strategies, tracked in public

Seven classic ways to rank stocks and eight ready-made screens, each followed forward from the day it was formed. No backtests, no do-overs.

Seven factor strategies

Each month every investable stock is ranked on each strategy, and its top tenth (the 10% with the highest rank) is followed to the next month. Listed in a fixed order: the full score, each factor, then each pair.

  1. The MoatMap Score

    Quality, Value and Momentum combined into one score from 0 to 100.

    Not measured yet.

    Today's list: MoatMap Score 90 or more, worth $250M or more
  2. Quality

    Businesses that earn a lot on what they own, turn profit into cash and carry little debt.

    Not measured yet.

    Today's list: Quality 90 or more, worth $250M or more
  3. Value

    Shares that look cheap against the company's earnings, cash flow, assets and sales.

    Not measured yet.

    Today's list: Value 90 or more, worth $250M or more
  4. Momentum

    Shares in a strong price trend whose earnings forecasts are rising.

    Not measured yet.

    Today's list: Momentum 90 or more, worth $250M or more
  5. Quality + Value

    Good businesses at cheap prices: Quality and Value, weighted equally.

    Not measured yet.

    A similar screen: Quality 80 or more and Value 80 or more, worth $250M or more
  6. Quality + Momentum

    Good businesses already in a rising trend: Quality and Momentum, weighted equally.

    Not measured yet.

    A similar screen: Quality 80 or more and Momentum 80 or more, worth $250M or more
  7. Value + Momentum

    Cheap shares that have started to climb: Value and Momentum, weighted equally.

    Not measured yet.

    A similar screen: Value 80 or more and Momentum 80 or more, worth $250M or more

Eight ready-made screens

Each screen is a fixed set of rules. On the 10th of each month we store the stocks it matches and measure the investable ones a month later. A screen's record is the equal-weighted average return of every stock it matched, in US dollars with dividends: a measurement, not a portfolio. A list formed by a rule is research, not advice.

  1. Buffett (high quality, fair price)

    High returns at a fair price: ROIC and operating margin above 20%, debt under half of equity, a P/E under 20, worth $250M or more.

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  2. Druckenmiller (momentum and earnings)

    Strong price trends backed by earnings: Momentum rank 80 or more, a one-year return 5 points ahead of its own market's index, quarterly earnings up 20%+, worth over $2B.

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  3. Lynch (growth at a fair price)

    Growth at a reasonable price: a PEG under 1, earnings up 15%+, return on equity above 15%, worth under $10B.

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  4. Cathie Wood (disruptive growth)

    Fast growers with room in their margins: revenue up 30%+, gross margin above 40%, a Quality rank of 70 or more, worth over $1B.

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  5. Conviction Trifecta (Quant + Insider + AI)

    Three signals at once: a MoatMap Score above 80, directors buying more than $10,000 of shares in the last 90 days, and an AI pick or AI screen pass.

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  6. Cannibals (heavy buybacks)

    Companies eating themselves: over 1% of shares bought back in the last 180 days, a Value rank of 70 or more so the stock they buy is cheap, worth over $100M. Buyback disclosure varies by market.

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  7. Equity Income (sustainable yield)

    A dividend yield above 5%, paid from under 70% of earnings, with a Quality rank of 80 or more to screen out likely yield traps, in companies worth $250M or more.

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  8. 100 Baggers (Chris Mayer)

    Chris Mayer's profile of a future 100-bagger: small (worth $100M to $2B), ROE above 20%, gross margin above 35%, earnings up 15%+, a P/E under 25, and insiders and major holders owning 10% or more.

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