141A.T
Premium GrowerTRIAL Holdings, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Japan · $2.8B cap · $17.1M/day traded
JPY 4,120 -2.6% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Score down 3.8 since 12 Nov: Momentum down 4 after a 3% price fall.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for TRIAL Holdings, Inc. (141A.T) is 55/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 54, Value 35, Momentum 61, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT TRIAL HOLDINGS, INC.
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Trial Holdings, Inc. operates a chain of discount superstores and retail outlets across Japan, utilizing advanced retail technology to optimize operations. The company's competitive moat is its proprietary "smart store" technology, which includes AI-driven smart shopping carts and automated inventory tracking to reduce labor costs and improve margins. Trial Holdings positions itself as a technology-driven disruptor in the traditional Japanese retail sector.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (JPY)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 595.5B | 653.1B | 717.9B | 803.8B | 1.3T | 22.6% | 1.4T | 1.5T | 1.6T | 7.6% |
| EPS (JPY) | 73.32 | 82.90 | 109.77 | 96.23 | 28.76 | -20.9% | 28.76 | 91.64 | 134.04 | 115.9% |
| Shares | 118.5M | 118.5M | 121.9M | 122.3M | 122.8M | +3.6% | 122.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 24.3B | 19.6B | 16.1B | 38.6B | 394.4B | 100.6% | 397.4B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 58.0B | 65.9B | 115.7B | 126.1B | 130.9B | 22.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 22.3B | 18.4B | 59.5B | -4.4B | 92.1B | 42.5% | 92.7B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -13.5B | -16.8B | -26.0B | -35.9B | -405.0B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -4.3B | -5.2B | 34.5B | 20.8B | 309.4B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 14% below its 52-week high.
Swung more than 76% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 62% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend (this stock): It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 141A.T are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141A.T | TRIAL Holdings, Inc.(you) | $2.8B | 55 |
| 7532.T | Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation | $14.2B | 43 |
| 2782.T | Seria Co., Ltd. | $1.7B | 92 |
| 2698.T | Can Do Co., Ltd. | $324M | 30 |
| 8203.T | Mr Max Holdings Ltd. | $151M | 70 |
| 3080.T | Jason Co., Ltd. | $68M | 42 |
| 7646.T | PLANT Co.,Ltd. | $77M | 87 |
| 2607.T | Fuji Oil Co., Ltd. | $2.5B | 57 |
| 2593.T | Ito En, Ltd. | $2.4B | 59 |
| 7806.T | MTG Co., Ltd. | $2.2B | 54 |
Peer medians: ROE 8.1% · P/E 15.9x · Gross margin 28.5%
Company Deep Dive
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