2613.T
Hot AirJ-Oil Mills, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Japan · $483M cap · $1.2M/day traded
JPY 2,157 +1.1% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for J-Oil Mills, Inc. (2613.T) is 49/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 35, Value 49, Momentum 59, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT J-OIL MILLS, INC.
Read
J-Oil Mills, Inc. manufacture and sell vegetable oils and fats in Japan. The company operates through Oils and Fats Business and Specialty Foods Business segments.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (JPY)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | — | 260.4B | 244.3B | 230.8B | 226.6B | -4.5% | 237.0B |
| EPS (JPY) | 59.24 | 29.82 | 205.36 | 211.51 | 143.59 | 24.8% | 144.11 |
| Shares | — | 33.1M | 33.1M | 33.1M | 33.1M | +0.1% | 33.1M |
| Debt | — | 45.7B | 29.8B | 25.1B | 19.5B | -24.7% | 26.6B |
| Equity | — | 93.8B | 101.6B | 105.8B | 110.6B | 5.6% | — |
| Op CF | — | -10.0B | 22.5B | 18.3B | 3.0B | -63.5% | 3.0B |
| Inv CF | — | -3.7B | -3.3B | -3.8B | -3.5B | — | — |
| Fin CF | — | 12.6B | -17.3B | -6.9B | -8.2B | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 8% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 95% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 17% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend (this stock): It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 2613.T are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2613.T | J-Oil Mills, Inc.(you) | $483M | 49 |
| 8079.T | Shoei Foods Corporation | $457M | 49 |
| 1301.T | Kyokuyo Co., Ltd. | $345M | 51 |
| 2281.T | Prima Meat Packers, Ltd. | $741M | 52 |
| 2220.T | Kameda Seika Co.,Ltd. | $550M | 59 |
| 2908.T | Fujicco Co., Ltd. | $293M | 54 |
| 2918.T | Warabeya Nichiyo Holdings Co., Ltd. | $296M | 63 |
| 2226.T | KOIKE-YA Inc. | $326M | 66 |
| 2933.T | Kibun Foods Inc. | $156M | 45 |
| 4404.T | Miyoshi Oil & Fat Co., Ltd. | $139M | 47 |
Peer medians: ROE 8.1% · P/E 16.0x · Gross margin 28.5%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.