3050.SR
Hot AirSouthern Province Cement Company · Basic Materials · Saudi Arabia · $611M cap · $387K/day traded
SAR 16.38 +2.4% · close 5 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Southern Province Cement Company (3050.SR) is 39/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 33, Value 34, Momentum 65, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT SOUTHERN PROVINCE CEMENT COMPANY
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Southern Province Cement Company manufactures and produces cement, derivatives, and accessories in Saudi Arabia. It offers cement for walls and floors, ordinary Portland cement, sulfate-resistant cement, and Portland pozzolanic cement, as well as clinkers.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (SAR)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.2B | 1.1B | 935.0M | 867.3M | -10.8% | 883.5M | 806.3M | 865.0M | -0.1% |
| EPS (SAR) | 2.15 | 1.40 | 1.38 | -0.35 | -19.9% | -0.53 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 140.0M | 140.0M | 140.0M | 140.0M | 0.0% | 140.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 253.4M | 366.2M | 657.1M | 1.3B | 70.9% | 1.5B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 3.2B | 3.2B | 3.2B | 3.1B | -1.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 320.4M | 316.7M | 165.4M | 41.9M | -49.2% | 78.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -148.0M | -254.7M | -438.4M | -642.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -355.7M | -19.1M | 96.4M | 514.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 2 trading days ago, 33% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
The Momentum score still reads 65: it looks back six months, so it has not caught up with this fall.
Calmer than 90% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 21% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 3050.SR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3050.SR | Southern Province Cement Company(you) | $611M | 39 |
| 9583.SR | United Mining Industries Company | $198M | 50 |
| 3002.SR | Najran Cement Company | $228M | 54 |
| 3040.SR | Qassim Cement Company | $1.3B | 65 |
| 3004.SR | Northern Region Cement Company | $295M | 65 |
| 3091.SR | Al Jouf Cement Company | $122M | 28 |
| 3090.SR | Tabuk Cement Company | $136M | 53 |
| 3020.SR | YAMAMA Cement Company | $1.1B | 73 |
| 3092.SR | Riyadh Cement Company | $597M | 87 |
| 3010.SR | Arabian Cement Company | $477M | 83 |
Peer medians: ROE 8.1% · P/E 16.9x · Gross margin 22.5%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.