4250.SR
Hot AirJabal Omar Development Company · Consumer Cyclical · Saudi Arabia · $4.8B cap · $9.8M/day traded
SAR 15.40 +1.9% · close 5 Nov · scored 7 Nov
Score up 1.0 since 6 Nov.
Hot Air: Strong momentum and nothing else: weak business, rich price.
As of 7 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Jabal Omar Development Company (4250.SR) is 42/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 43, Value 32, Momentum 61, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT JABAL OMAR DEVELOPMENT COMPANY
Read
Jabal Omar Development Company operates as a real estate development company in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. It operates through Operating Hotels, Commercial Centers, and Properties for Development and Sale segments.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (SAR)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 849.5M | 1.3B | 1.9B | 2.1B | 35.5% | 2.4B |
| EPS (SAR) | -0.35 | 0.03 | 0.17 | 2.03 | 722.6% | 1.55 |
| Shares | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | +2.2% | 1.2B |
| Debt | 11.0B | 11.7B | 12.1B | 9.3B | -5.3% | 9.4B |
| Equity | 12.7B | 12.7B | 13.5B | 15.9B | 7.7% | — |
| Op CF | -165.9M | -349.5M | -392.4M | -5.2M | — | 124.6M |
| Inv CF | -845.9M | -245.3M | 189.1M | 3.4B | — | — |
| Fin CF | 1.0B | 370.9M | 384.9M | -2.9B | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 75% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 29% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of 4250.SR are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4250.SR | Jabal Omar Development Company(you) | $4.8B | 42 |
| 4100.SR | Makkah Construction and Development Company | $3.4B | 25 |
| 4090.SR | Taiba Investment Company | $2.1B | 24 |
| 1820.SR | BAAN Holding Group Company | $273M | 28 |
| 4200.SR | Aldrees Petroleum and Transport Services Company | $2.9B | 40 |
| 4003.SR | United Electronics Company | $1.2B | 42 |
| 1810.SR | Seera Holding Group | $1.2B | 38 |
| 4190.SR | Jarir Marketing Company | $5.4B | 85 |
| 1830.SR | Leejam Sports Company | $993M | 56 |
| 4192.SR | Al-Saif Stores for Development & Investment Company | $560M | 47 |
Peer medians: ROE 9.4% · P/E 18.4x · Gross margin 23.2%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.