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AMBP

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Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. · Consumer Cyclical · Luxembourg · $2.5B · Avg Vol: $7M/d

66
StockRank
Q
30
V
64
M
59
P/E (TTM)
ROE
D/E
Dividend %
9.9%
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Ardagh Metal Packaging is a highly leveraged metal can manufacturer. Aluminum can production is highly energy-intensive, making the company a structural casualty of the Geopolitical Energy Risk Premium. This, combined with low quality metrics (Q: 31), makes it an easy avoid.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Ardagh Metal Packaging is a leading global supplier of infinitely recyclable metal beverage cans, operating advanced manufacturing facilities across Europe and the Americas. The company benefits from long-term, multi-year supply contracts with major global beverage brands, driven by the structural shift from plastic to sustainable aluminum packaging. Its competitive moat is sustained by its massive global scale, highly automated production lines, and close proximity to major customer filling plants.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGR
Revenue4.7B4.8B4.9B5.5B5.4%
EPS0.38-0.12-0.05-0.02
Shares598M598M598M598M+0.0%
Debt3.6B3.7B3.9B4.4B7.2%
Equity455M100M-142M-683M-78.0%
Op CF205M616M450M449M29.9%
Inv CF-595M-378M-179M-184M
Fin CF499M-348M-81M-374M
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PRICE (1M)+9.6%
3.934.044.154.254.36May 7May 29Jun 18
SMA 50SMA 200
Close
$4.34
RSI (14)
76.9
52W High
$4.79
From 52W High
0.9%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
30
ROIC
4.8%31.9
ROE
N/A
GP/Assets
12.7%24.0
Op. Margin
3.9%34.9
FCF/Assets
3.6%51.6
Piotroski
35.3
Int. Cover
1.0x18.0
D/E Ratio
N/A
Current Ratio
1.05x22.4
Value
64
P/E (TTM)
N/A
EV/EBITDA
9.2x50.4
P/FCF
12.3x60.3
P/B
-3.6x97.9
P/S
0.4x75.5
Div Yield
9.9%97.7
Momentum
59
52W High %
91%79.9
RS 6M
-0%78.6
SMA 50/200
1.02x65.5
EPS Rev 4W
N/A
EPS Rev 12W
N/A
EPS Improve
N/A
Q Growth
N/A

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$2.5B
P/E (Forward)
14.3x
Gross Margin
12.6%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of AMBP are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
AMBPArdagh Metal Packaging S.A.(you)$2.5B66BUY
1910.HKSamsonite Group S.A.$2.5B86STRONG BUY
ALE.WAAllegro.eu S.A.$9.7B74BUY
CDROCodere Online Luxembourg, S.A.$428M83STRONG BUY
GFG.DEGlobal Fashion Group S.A.$132M77BUY

Peer medians: ROE 11.3% · P/E 19.8x · Gross margin 53.0%

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) — Stock Score Summary

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) has a MoatMap StockRank of 66/100 based on Quality (30/100), Value (64/100), and Momentum (59/100) factor scores. The current signal is BUY. Ardagh Metal Packaging is a highly leveraged metal can manufacturer. Aluminum can production is highly energy-intensive, making the company a structural casualty of the Geopolitical Energy Risk Premium. This, combined with low quality metrics (Q: 31), makes it an easy avoid.

Ardagh Metal Packaging is a leading global supplier of infinitely recyclable metal beverage cans, operating advanced manufacturing facilities across Europe and the Americas. The company benefits from long-term, multi-year supply contracts with major global beverage brands, driven by the structural shift from plastic to sustainable aluminum packaging. Its competitive moat is sustained by its massive global scale, highly automated production lines, and close proximity to major customer filling plants.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$4.34
Market Cap$2.5B
P/E (Forward)14.27
Price/Book-3.60
Return on Invested Capital4.8%
Gross Margin12.6%
Operating Margin3.9%
Revenue Growth18.6%
Dividend Yield9.9%
Free Cash Flow$204M

Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. operates in the Packaging & Containers industry, part of the Consumer Cyclical sector (Luxembourg).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A.’s (AMBP) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) is 66/100, with a Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (30), Value (64), and Momentum (59) factor ranks across MoatMap’s 20,000+ stock universe.
Does Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. have an economic moat?
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) has a Quality factor score of 30/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage — the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) is Buy, based on a StockRank of 66/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many — combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. in?
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. (AMBP) operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, specifically the Packaging & Containers industry (Luxembourg).