ARA.MX
Strong BuySecond WindConsorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. · Consumer Cyclical · Mexico · $330M
MXN 5.31 -0.7% · close 9 Oct · scored 10 Oct
Second Wind: Cheap and rising again, but the business does not yet earn the optimism.
Read our full research report on ARA.MX (May 2026), freeAs of 10 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. (ARA.MX) is 82/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 46, Value 73, Momentum 58, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT CONSORCIO ARA, S. A. B. DE C. V.
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Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. is a leading residential homebuilder in Mexico, specializing in entry-level, middle-income, and residential housing developments. The company maintains a strong market position through its diversified geographic footprint across Mexico and a highly disciplined financial strategy characterized by low leverage. Its competitive advantage lies in its extensive land bank and vertically integrated operations, which allow it to manage construction costs and adapt to shifting housing policies.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (MXN)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 7.0B | 6.7B | 7.1B | 8.3B | 5.9% | 8.9B | 9.1B | 9.7B | 8.5% |
| EPS (MXN) | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.74 | 12.5% | 1.21 | 0.64 | 0.73 | -0.7% |
| Shares | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.2B | -1.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Debt | 2.3B | 2.5B | 2.7B | 2.7B | 4.6% | 2.5B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 14.4B | 14.8B | 15.5B | 16.2B | 4.0% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 237.9M | -198.3M | 321.3M | 489.7M | 27.2% | 749.2M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -105.2M | -94.9M | -30.4M | -44.1M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -377.5M | -554.7M | -252.6M | -683.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 1% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 65% of stocks we rank over the past year (33% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Cyclical, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ARA.MX are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARA.MX | Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V.(you) | $330M | 82 | Strong Buy |
| GISSAA.MX | Grupo Industrial Saltillo, S.A.B. de C.V. | $225M | 75 | Buy |
| BWMX | Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V. | $652M | 78 | Buy |
| HCITY.MX | Promotora de Hoteles Norte 19, S.A.B. de C.V. | $127M | 71 | Buy |
| NEMAKA.MX | Nemak, S. A. B. de C. V. | $499M | 59 | Hold |
| ALSEA.MX | Alsea, S.A.B. de C.V. | $2.0B | 69 | Buy |
| SORIANAB.MX | Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V. | $2.8B | 68 | Buy |
| LIVEPOLC-1.MX | El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. | $8.1B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| LACOMERUBC.MX | La Comer, S.A.B. de C.V. | $2.7B | 48 | Hold |
| RLHA.MX | RLH Properties, S.A.B. de C.V. | $1.1B | 19 | Strong Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 4.5% · P/E 13.8x · Gross margin 34.6%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.