ASML
HoldPremium GrowerAI neutralASML Holding N.V. · Technology · Netherlands · $670.1B cap · $2.4B/day traded
$1,750.24 -1.7% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 1.7 since 13 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Report expected 14 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 17.9% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) is 64/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 84, Value 14, Momentum 60, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ASML holds a monopoly in EUV lithography, the tool every leading-edge chipmaker needs, and it is one of the highest-quality franchises in global technology. Recent news points to renewed AI-driven demand for lithography. The difficulty is price: at a valuation score of 15, much of the AI story is already in the shares, forward earnings estimates slipped 1.6% over the past month, and the market is debating whether chipmakers' Q3 results expose new risks to AI capital spending.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT ASML HOLDING N.V.
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ASML Holding N.V. is the world's leading supplier of photolithography equipment, a critical technology essential for manufacturing integrated circuits for the semiconductor industry. The company maintains a near-monopoly in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography, holding an indispensable market position due to its unparalleled R&D investments and highly complex intellectual property.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 23.7B | 30.8B | 31.6B | 36.5B | 15.6% | 39.6B | 48.0B | 61.2B | 29.4% |
| EPS | 17.99 | 23.06 | 21.54 | 29.41 | 17.8% | 30.81 | 45.65 | 51.60 | 32.5% |
| Shares | 394.6M | 393.4M | 393.3M | 385.4M | -2.3% | 384.1M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 4.8B | 5.2B | 5.2B | 4.9B | 1.0% | 2.2B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 9.9B | 15.1B | 20.7B | 21.9B | 30.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 9.5B | 6.1B | 12.5B | 14.2B | 14.3% | 12.9B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -1.2B | -3.0B | -2.9B | -4.2B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -8.0B | -3.4B | -3.2B | -9.7B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 12% below its 52-week high.
Swung more than 58% of stocks we rank over the past year (46% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ASML are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASML | ASML Holding N.V.(you) | $670.1B | 64 | Hold |
| A1MT34.SA | Applied Materials, Inc. | $402.2B | 66 | Buy |
| LAR0.DE | Lam Research Corporation | $401.1B | 72 | Buy |
| KLAC | KLA Corporation | $245.2B | 64 | Hold |
| 8035.T | Tokyo Electron Limited | $156.4B | 66 | Buy |
| 6857.T | Advantest Corporation | $152.0B | 78 | Buy |
| TER | Teradyne, Inc. | $60.8B | 71 | Buy |
| ASM.AS | ASM International NV | $47.3B | 78 | Buy |
| 6146.T | Disco Corporation | $36.5B | 54 | Hold |
| 6920.T | Lasertec Corporation | $22.9B | 68 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.4% · P/E 29.0x · Gross margin 33.3%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.