BP
BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralBP p.l.c. · Energy · United Kingdom · $114.6B cap · $438.6M/day traded
$46.73 +1.0% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Report expected 30 Oct: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 35.3% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for BP p.l.c. (BP) is 70/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 57, Value 35, Momentum 72, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
BP is a direct beneficiary of Brent near $100, strong diesel cracks and high LNG prices through its upstream, refining and gas-trading businesses. Forward earnings estimates rose about 9.8% over four weeks, HSBC upgraded it to Buy, and it appears in M&A speculation. The business itself remains a capital-intensive commodity producer with a history of strategy reversals and a heavier balance sheet than peers. Earnings are driven by the oil price, not by a durable competitive advantage, so a fall in the war premium would quickly reverse the gains.
ABOUT BP P.L.C.
Read
BP p.l.c. is a multinational integrated energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, transportation, and marketing of oil and natural gas, alongside significant and growing investments in low-carbon energy solutions. The company holds a dominant competitive position as one of the world's largest energy supermajors, benefiting from a vast global operational footprint and established infrastructure. BP is notable for its strategic transition towards becoming an integrated energy company, balancing traditional fossil fuels with renewable energy growth.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 241.4B | 210.1B | 189.2B | 189.3B | -7.8% | 215.5B | 227.3B | 209.6B | 5.2% |
| EPS | -5.54 | 34.41 | 0.88 | 0.13 | -94.0% | 2.05 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 17.6% |
| Shares | 2.6B | 2.6B | 2.6B | 2.6B | 0.0% | 2.6B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 55.5B | 63.1B | 71.5B | 72.5B | 9.3% | 72.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 67.6B | 70.3B | 59.2B | 53.1B | -7.7% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 40.9B | 32.0B | 27.3B | 24.5B | -15.7% | 29.1B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -13.7B | -14.9B | -13.3B | -11.5B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -28.0B | -13.4B | -7.3B | -15.9B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 1% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 73% of stocks we rank over the past year (30% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of BP are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BP | BP p.l.c.(you) | $114.6B | 70 | Buy |
| 0386.HK | China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation | $69.2B | 70 | Buy |
| IMO.TO | Imperial Oil Limited | $60.2B | 69 | Buy |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | $78.7B | 76 | Buy |
| PBR | Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | $136.2B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| CVE | Cenovus Energy Inc. | $57.3B | 80 | Strong Buy |
| 601857.SS | PetroChina Company Limited | $298.5B | 63 | Hold |
| TTE | TotalEnergies SE | $202.5B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| EQNR.OL | Equinor ASA | $104.3B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| CVX | Chevron Corporation | $403.1B | 74 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 8.4% · P/E 15.1x · Gross margin 35.7%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.