CDP.AX
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralCarindale Property Trust · Real Estate · Australia · $316M cap · $24K/day traded
AUD 5.35 -0.6% · close 21 Oct · scored 22 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
As of 22 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Carindale Property Trust (CDP.AX) is 85/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 59, Value 58, Momentum 65, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Carindale Property Trust owns half of Westfield Carindale, a large regional shopping centre in Brisbane with stable occupancy. The trust's single-asset concentration, its gap between funds from operations and distributions, and the listing of a 50% stake in the centre for sale leave the outlook uncertain, and bond-like property assets struggle when yields stay high.
ABOUT CARINDALE PROPERTY TRUST
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Carindale Property Trust owns a 50% interest in Westfield Carindale, one of Brisbane's premier regional shopping centers, managed by Scentre Group. The company benefits from a highly productive, dominant retail asset with high occupancy rates and a strong, affluent catchment area. It is a single-asset retail REIT offering stable, long-term rental income and capital growth tied to prime retail real estate.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (AUD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 52.7M | 54.9M | 57.9M | 61.6M | 5.3% | 64.0M | 63.5M | 65.8M | 2.2% |
| EPS (AUD) | 0.93 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 0.48 | -19.7% | 0.70 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.3% |
| Shares | 72.7M | 75.7M | 79.3M | 82.7M | +13.9% | 82.7M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 253.1M | 240.5M | 225.2M | 210.1M | -6.0% | 203.9M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 526.7M | 528.4M | 529.7M | 561.0M | 2.1% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 28.1M | 27.8M | 26.4M | 30.5M | 2.8% | 31.1M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -4.0M | -10.4M | -6.5M | -8.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -22.7M | -17.9M | -21.3M | -21.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 7% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 89% of stocks we rank over the past year (21% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Real Estate, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CDP.AX are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CDP.AX | Carindale Property Trust(you) | $316M | 85 | Strong Buy |
| DXC.AX | Dexus Convenience Retail REIT | $261M | 68 | Buy |
| CQR.AX | Charter Hall Retail REIT | $1.5B | 96 | Strong Buy |
| HDN.AX | HomeCo Daily Needs REIT | $1.6B | 61 | Hold |
| RGN.AX | Region Group | $1.8B | 53 | Hold |
| VCX.AX | Vicinity Centres | $7.5B | 67 | Buy |
| SCG.AX | Scentre Group | $12.4B | 55 | Hold |
| SRV.AX | Servcorp Limited | $413M | 87 | Strong Buy |
| CWP.AX | Cedar Woods Properties Limited | $388M | 77 | Buy |
| PPC.AX | Peet Limited | $551M | 83 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 7.7% · P/E 9.5x · Gross margin 71.1%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.