CEG
Fallen FavouriteConstellation Energy Corporation · Utilities · United States · $89.8B cap · $1.2B/day traded
$274.73 +2.6% · close 11 Nov · scored 11 Nov
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and its momentum is weak.
As of 11 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) is 43/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 66, Value 21, Momentum 49, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT CONSTELLATION ENERGY CORPORATION
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Constellation Energy Corporation is the largest producer of carbon-free energy in the United States, operating a diverse portfolio of nuclear, hydro, solar, and wind generation facilities, alongside a significant retail energy supply business. Its competitive moat stems from its dominant nuclear fleet, providing reliable baseload carbon-free power, and its integrated energy solutions for a broad customer base. Constellation is positioned as a market leader in clean energy generation and supply, crucial for decarbonization efforts.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 24.4B | 24.9B | 23.6B | 25.5B | 1.5% | 31.3B | 35.8B | 37.2B | 20.6% |
| EPS | -0.49 | 5.02 | 11.91 | 7.40 | 21.4% | 10.23 | 9.63 | 10.56 | 19.5% |
| Shares | 327.0M | 317.0M | 312.8M | 312.3M | -4.5% | 354.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 5.8B | 9.3B | 8.4B | 9.0B | 16.0% | 24.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 11.0B | 10.9B | 13.2B | 14.5B | 9.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | -2.4B | -5.3B | -2.5B | 4.2B | — | 4.2B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | 3.1B | 3.0B | 7.4B | -3.2B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -799.0M | 2.2B | -2.3B | -420.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
No new 52-week low for 18 weeks, 17% above that low, but not back above a rising 50-day average.
Swung more than 62% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 50% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CEG are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| CEG | Constellation Energy Corporation(you) | $89.8B | 43 |
| VST | Vistra Corp. | $47.0B | 45 |
| ADANIPOWER.NS | Adani Power Limited | $37.0B | 43 |
| 003816.SZ | CGN Power Co., Ltd. | $34.5B | 40 |
| GULF.BK | Gulf Development Public Company Limited | $27.3B | 50 |
| ADANIENSOL.NS | Adani Energy Solutions Limited | $15.7B | 50 |
| 601991.SS | Datang International Power Generation Co., Ltd. | $14.1B | 48 |
| 600011.SS | Huaneng Power International, Inc. | $17.2B | 53 |
| NRG | NRG Energy, Inc. | $19.4B | 26 |
| 600674.SS | Sichuan Chuantou Energy Co.Ltd | $12.6B | 51 |
Peer medians: ROE 7.6% · P/E 17.3x · Gross margin 32.2%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.