VST

HoldFallen Favourite

Vistra Corp. · Utilities · United States · $46.3B · Avg Vol: $589M/d

Fallen Favourite: A good business that is expensive and falling. Wait for the price to catch up.

45
StockRank
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Quality
67
Value
34
Momentum
37
P/E (TTM)
23.7x
peers 20.0x
ROE
43.0%
peers 9.3%
D/E
3.7x
peers 1.4x
Dividend %
0.6%
trailing yield

ABOUT VISTRA CORP.

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Vistra Corp. is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States, serving millions of customers. The company owns a large and diversified generation portfolio encompassing natural gas, nuclear, coal, and solar facilities, providing significant operational flexibility. Vistra's scale as a competitive power producer and retail provider positions it strongly in key U.S. energy markets.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue13.7B14.8B17.2B17.7B8.9%19.2B22.5B23.9B16.1%
EPS-3.153.827.262.22-23.7%5.939.4710.38116.0%
Shares389.8M351.5M339.8M338.1M-13.3%335.6M———
Debt13.3B14.7B17.0B20.1B14.6%20.5B———
Equity4.9B5.3B5.6B5.1B1.3%————
Op CF485.0M5.5B4.6B4.1B103.2%5.1B———
Inv CF-1.2B-2.1B-5.3B-4.4B—————
Fin CF-80.0M-294.0M-1.6B-74.0M—————
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)-5.8%
13614014414815213 Aug3 Sep24 Sep
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$137.94
RSI (14)
40.6
52-Week Range-36.1% from high
Low $132.26High $215.85

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
67
ROIC
12.7%88.4
ROE
43.0%99.5
GP/Assets
17.7%88.0
Op. Margin
13.8%46.9
FCF/Assets
5.4%83.8
Piotroski
533.2
Int. Cover
3.9x54.1
D/E Ratio
3.73x3.7
Current Ratio
0.97x42.2
Value
34
P/E (TTM)
23.7x29.4
EV/EBITDA
10.5x57.7
P/FCF
20.5x43.4
P/B
15.7x1.4
P/S
2.5x37.5
Div Yield
0.6%6.7
Momentum
37
52W High %
64%25.7
RS 6M
-26%30.0
SMA 50/200
0.94x29.8
EPS Rev 4W
+0.4%57.6
EPS Rev 12W
-5.6%15.4
EPS Improve
+75%71.5
Q Growth
-7%37.0

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$46.3B
P/E (Forward)
13.6x
Gross Margin
38.3%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of VST are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
VSTVistra Corp.(you)$46.3B45Hold
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation$93.5B29Sell
NRGNRG Energy, Inc.$21.2B30Sell
TLNTalen Energy Corporation$14.4B22Sell
OKLOOklo Inc.$7.2B1Strong Sell
HNRGHallador Energy Company$684M26Sell
EXCExelon Corporation$41.9B43Hold
PCGPG&E Corporation$37.3B41Hold
ETREntergy Corporation$47.4B34Sell
DDominion Energy, Inc.$53.8B36Hold

Peer medians: ROE 9.3% · P/E 20.0x · Gross margin 44.9%

Company Deep Dive

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Vistra Corp. (VST): Stock Score Summary

Vistra Corp. (VST) has a MoatMap StockRank of 45/100 based on Quality (67/100), Value (34/100), and Momentum (37/100) factor scores. The current signal is HOLD.

Vistra Corp. is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States, serving millions of customers. The company owns a large and diversified generation portfolio encompassing natural gas, nuclear, coal, and solar facilities, providing significant operational flexibility. Vistra's scale as a competitive power producer and retail provider positions it strongly in key U.S. energy markets.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$137.94
Market Cap$46.3B
P/E (TTM)23.72
P/E (Forward)13.57
Price/Book15.72
Return on Equity43.0%
Return on Invested Capital12.7%
Debt/Equity3.73x
Gross Margin38.3%
Operating Margin13.8%
Revenue Growth-5.5%
Dividend Yield0.6%
Free Cash Flow$2.3B

Vistra Corp. operates in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, part of the Utilities sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Vistra Corp.’s (VST) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Vistra Corp. (VST) is 45/100, with a Hold signal. It is a composite of Quality (67), Value (34), and Momentum (37) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 25,000+ stocks.
Does Vistra Corp. have an economic moat?
Vistra Corp. (VST) has a Quality factor score of 67/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Vistra Corp. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Vistra Corp. (VST) is Hold, based on a StockRank of 45/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Vistra Corp. in?
Vistra Corp. (VST) operates in the Utilities sector, specifically the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry (United States).