Also trades as C1FI34.SA.
CF
Strong BuyFull HouseAI screen passCF Industries Holdings, Inc. · Basic Materials · United States · $18.3B cap · $316.4M/day traded
$114.58 +2.7% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
Report expected 4 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 1.3% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is 97/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 82, Value 69, Momentum 57, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
CF Industries is a premier global nitrogen fertilizer producer with structural margin advantages rooted in low-cost North American natural gas feedstock. The company is actively executing share repurchases, and consensus forward-EPS estimates have been revised upward over recent weeks amid tight international supply conditions. Favorable agricultural market dynamics support sustained free cash generation.
ABOUT CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC.
Read
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of hydrogen and nitrogen products, including ammonia, urea, and UAN, essential for agricultural and industrial applications. The company benefits from its extensive, low-cost production network and strategic access to North American natural gas, providing a significant competitive advantage in the global fertilizer market. Its scale and integrated distribution capabilities solidify its position as a major basic materials provider.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 11.2B | 6.6B | 5.9B | 7.1B | -14.1% | 7.7B | 8.3B | 7.3B | 1.8% |
| EPS | 16.45 | 7.89 | 6.75 | 8.98 | -18.3% | 13.48 | 15.33 | 11.19 | 11.6% |
| Shares | 195.6M | 188.2M | 169.9M | 153.6M | -21.5% | 151.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 3.2B | 3.2B | 3.2B | 3.6B | 4.1% | 3.6B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 5.1B | 5.7B | 5.0B | 4.8B | -1.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 3.9B | 2.8B | 2.3B | 2.8B | -10.6% | 3.0B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -440.0M | -1.7B | -469.0M | -933.0M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -2.7B | -1.4B | -2.2B | -1.5B | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Swung more than 52% of stocks we rank over the past year (43% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CF are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF | CF Industries Holdings, Inc.(you) | $18.3B | 97 | Strong Buy |
| CTVA | Corteva, Inc. | $53.7B | 62 | Hold |
| SMG | The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company | $3.1B | 74 | Buy |
| MOS | The Mosaic Company | $7.7B | 36 | Hold |
| IPI | Intrepid Potash, Inc. | $494M | 72 | Buy |
| IFOS.V | Itafos Inc. | $323M | 69 | Buy |
| CDM1.DE | Coeur Mining, Inc. | $17.9B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| RS | Reliance, Inc. | $19.6B | 83 | Strong Buy |
| SSRM.TO | SSR Mining Inc. | $7.4B | 94 | Strong Buy |
| AU | AngloGold Ashanti plc | $49.9B | 95 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 2.6% · P/E 21.0x · Gross margin 27.8%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.