CIG-C
HoldFallen FavouriteAI neutralCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG · Utilities · Brazil · $8.6B cap · $12K/day traded
$3.50 +0.6% · close 13 Oct · scored 15 Oct
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and the price is falling.
As of 15 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG (CIG-C) is 60/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 61, Value 44, Momentum 50, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Cemig is a Minas Gerais state-controlled Brazilian electricity utility covering generation, transmission and distribution. It pays high dividends, but its returns are set by regulators, it faces political influence from its state shareholder, and it has no special moat beyond its regulated concession.
ABOUT COMPANHIA ENERGÉTICA DE MINAS GERAIS - CEMIG
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Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of energy in Brazil.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 6.3B | 7.3B | 7.9B | 8.5B | 10.4% | 8.8B | 7.5B | 7.1B | -9.0% |
| EPS | 1.11 | 1.20 | 1.49 | 1.02 | -2.8% | 0.31 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 956.6M | 956.6M | 956.6M | 956.6M | 0.0% | 956.6M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 2.2B | 2.0B | 2.5B | 4.0B | 22.1% | 4.6B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 4.3B | 4.9B | 5.5B | 5.7B | 9.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.1B | 813.1M | -14.6% | 684.0M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -625.5M | -791.6M | -473.9M | -1.3B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -556.9M | -514.8M | -550.3M | 516.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 13% below its 52-week high.
The Momentum score still reads 50: it weighs six months of price and earnings revisions, so it trails a turn like this.
Swung more than 53% of stocks we rank over the past year (43% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CIG-C are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIG-C | Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG(you) | $8.6B | 60 | Hold |
| EQTL3.SA | Equatorial S.A. | $9.7B | 61 | Hold |
| ELPC | Companhia Paranaense de Energia | $9.1B | 70 | Buy |
| TAEE11.SA | Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A. | $8.3B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| ENGI4.SA | Energisa S.A. | $7.2B | 79 | Buy |
| CPLE3.SA | Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL | $9.1B | 85 | Strong Buy |
| CPFE3.SA | CPFL Energia S.A. | $10.1B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| EQPA3.SA | Equatorial Pará Distribuidora de Energia S.A. | $2.3B | 78 | Buy |
| ENMT3.SA | Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A | $1.7B | 38 | Hold |
| CEBR3.SA | Companhia Energética de Brasília - CEB | $388M | 60 | Hold |
Peer medians: ROE 13.7% · P/E 15.0x · Gross margin 35.7%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.