ELPC
BuyPremium GrowerAI screen passCompanhia Paranaense de Energia · Utilities · Brazil · $9.1B cap · $8.2M/day traded
$14.00 -1.3% · close 13 Oct · scored 15 Oct
StockRank down 1.9 since 14 Oct.
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
As of 15 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Companhia Paranaense de Energia (ELPC) is 70/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 66, Value 27, Momentum 71, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Copel is one of the few names in this batch clearing stage one on the quant route alone, with all three legs at or above 60 (Q65 V61 M65), a configuration only about 2.5% of the ranked universe reaches. A Brazilian regulated utility generates the contracted cash flows this rate regime rewards, and nothing adverse is on file: the only insider activity rounds to zero.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT COMPANHIA PARANAENSE DE ENERGIA
Read
Companhia Paranaense de Energia (COPEL) is a major Brazilian utility company engaged in the generation, transmission, distribution, and sale of electricity, primarily in the State of Paraná. The company operates highly regulated, long-term concession assets with a large, clean hydroelectric generation portfolio, ensuring stable and predictable cash flows. It is a vertically integrated, newly privatized Brazilian regulated utility leader.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 4.1B | 4.3B | 4.5B | 5.2B | 8.3% | 5.6B | 5.2B | 5.2B | 0.1% |
| EPS | 1.19 | 2.43 | 3.02 | 2.89 | 34.2% | 0.81 | 3.33 | 4.29 | 21.9% |
| Shares | 742.4M | 742.4M | 742.4M | 742.4M | 0.0% | 742.4M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 2.5B | 3.0B | 3.5B | 4.1B | 16.9% | 4.7B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 4.2B | 4.8B | 5.1B | 4.6B | 3.6% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 778.4M | 701.7M | 676.8M | 604.0M | -8.1% | 393.6M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -553.5M | -625.3M | -1.1B | -350.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -383.3M | 537.8M | 160.3M | -458.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 4% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 56% of stocks we rank over the past year (38% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of ELPC are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELPC | Companhia Paranaense de Energia(you) | $9.1B | 70 | Buy |
| EQTL3.SA | Equatorial S.A. | $9.7B | 61 | Hold |
| CIG-C | Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIG | $8.6B | 60 | Hold |
| TAEE11.SA | Transmissora Aliança de Energia Elétrica S.A. | $8.3B | 81 | Strong Buy |
| ENGI4.SA | Energisa S.A. | $7.2B | 79 | Buy |
| CPLE3.SA | Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL | $9.1B | 85 | Strong Buy |
| CPFE3.SA | CPFL Energia S.A. | $10.1B | 92 | Strong Buy |
| EQPA3.SA | Equatorial Pará Distribuidora de Energia S.A. | $2.3B | 78 | Buy |
| ENMT3.SA | Energisa Mato Grosso - Distribuidora de Energia S/A | $1.7B | 38 | Hold |
| CLSC4.SA | Centrais Elétricas de Santa Catarina S.A. | $1.2B | 96 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 15.8% · P/E 13.8x · Gross margin 34.3%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.