CMC
HoldUnloved QualityAI screen passCommercial Metals Company · Industrials · United States · $7.6B cap · $76.7M/day traded
$62.42 -0.6% · close 26 Oct · scored 27 Oct
Unloved Quality: Strong and cheap; the market has not turned yet.
As of 27 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is 61/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 57, Value 60, Momentum 38, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Commercial Metals clears the calibrated bar. All three legs are above the floor (Q58 V64 M61) and there are two corroborating filings: insider buying of 0.01% of shares outstanding and an active buyback. Nothing adverse is on file: no insider selling, and the forward-EPS consensus was revised up 2.4%. Domestic steel recycling and rebar production benefit from tariff protection and from infrastructure demand insulated from import competition.
The ranks quoted here are from the day it was written; today's Quality, Value and Momentum are the bars above.
ABOUT COMMERCIAL METALS COMPANY
Read
Commercial Metals Company is a global manufacturer and recycler of steel and metal products, primarily producing and fabricating steel reinforcing bars and other long products from recycled scrap metal. It is a vertically integrated leader in steel minimill operations and recycling, benefiting from efficient operations, proximity to scrap sources, and an extensive distribution network. The company is a prominent vertically integrated steel producer, specializing in rebar and long products with a strong focus on utilizing recycled scrap metal.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 8.9B | 8.8B | 7.9B | 7.8B | -4.4% | 9.4B | 8.6B | 8.8B | 4.1% |
| EPS | 10.09 | 7.34 | 4.19 | 0.75 | -58.0% | 5.86 | 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.8% |
| Shares | 117.5M | 116.5M | 114.1M | 111.2M | -5.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.5B | 1.2B | 1.2B | 1.4B | -3.4% | 3.6B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 3.3B | 4.1B | 4.3B | 4.2B | 8.5% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 700.3M | 1.3B | 899.7M | 715.1M | 0.7% | 1.1B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -684.7M | -835.2M | -323.0M | -346.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 165.3M | -599.5M | -313.8M | -183.4M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 62% of stocks we rank over the past year (35% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Industrials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CMC are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMC | Commercial Metals Company(you) | $7.6B | 61 | Hold |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology Corporation | $14.1B | 52 | Hold |
| ATI | ATI Inc. | $21.4B | 60 | Hold |
| MLI | Mueller Industries, Inc. | $11.8B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| WOR | Worthington Enterprises, Inc. | $3.1B | 80 | Strong Buy |
| PRLB | Proto Labs, Inc. | $2.0B | 72 | Buy |
| RYZ | Ryerson Holding Corporation | $1.5B | 50 | Hold |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | $4.2B | 27 | Sell |
| IIIN | Insteel Industries Inc. | $538M | 61 | Hold |
| GPGI | GPGI, Inc. | $3.3B | 4 | Strong Sell |
Peer medians: ROE 8.8% · P/E 25.9x · Gross margin 29.3%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.