CPAC
Full HouseAI concernCementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. · Basic Materials · Peru · $1.1B cap · $464K/day traded
$12.93 +0.3% · close 12 Nov · scored 13 Nov
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, and the market agrees.
Strong on the numbers, but the AI review named a specific concern. Its reason is in the AI review below.
As of 13 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. (CPAC) is 94/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 74, Value 53, Momentum 73, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
While the EPS revision is significant, the business remains a regional cement player sensitive to Peruvian domestic infrastructure cycles; the Holcim stake acquisition signals consolidation risk rather than an independent compounding growth story.
ABOUT CEMENTOS PACASMAYO S.A.A.
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Cementos Pacasmayo S.A.A. is the largest cement company in the northern region of Peru, producing cement, concrete, blocks, and other building materials. The company benefits from a dominant regional market share and high geographic barriers to entry, as transporting cement over long distances is economically prohibitive. It is a vertically integrated, dominant regional building materials manufacturer.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
Reported in PEN
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 555.4M | 525.6M | 531.6M | 598.7M | 2.5% | 700.9M | 639.6M | 667.6M | 3.7% |
| EPS | 2.72 | 2.65 | 3.12 | 2.57 | -1.8% | 0.89 | 4.50 | 3.83 | 19.8% |
| Shares | 84.8M | 84.8M | 84.8M | 84.8M | 0.0% | 84.8M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 422.1M | 427.2M | 409.5M | 424.9M | 0.2% | 403.1M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 315.8M | 321.5M | 330.6M | 354.4M | 3.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 29.4M | 111.1M | 86.3M | 102.0M | 51.5% | 165.8M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -46.2M | -78.0M | -20.6M | -32.6M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -31.9M | -31.1M | -70.2M | -74.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and at its 52-week high.
Swung more than 75% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 61% a year).
How this is worked out
The Price check reads only the chart, the price side of the Momentum score in words; it is not the MoatMap Score.
- Still falling: It set a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, after a deep fall.
- Finding a floor: It fell hard, but has set no new low for more than two weeks.
- Turning up: It has climbed off its low and is back above a rising 50-day average.
- In an uptrend (this stock): It is near its 52-week high and above its 200-day average.
- No clear trend: None of the above: no recent deep fall and no steady climb.
- No read yet: Not enough price history yet: it needs a year of trading.
In past US falls, waiting for Turning up cut the chance of another 20% drop from 42% to 33%. Returns were no better, and 33% of turns failed.
The exact rules
Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high, with the low set after the high. Finding a floor is the same fall with no new low in the last two weeks. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average, with the 50-day average above the 200-day, and within 15% of the high. No clear trend is everything else. No read yet is under 252 trading days of history, or missing data. A new state shows once it has held for three trading days.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CPAC are excluded.
Peer medians: ROE 10.6% · P/E 5.9x · Gross margin 62.3%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.