CTRI
SinkerCenturi Holdings, Inc. · Utilities · United States · $2.0B cap · $52.7M/day traded
$22.66 +0.4% · close 11 Nov · scored 12 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
After its 4 Nov results, analysts raised next year's EPS estimate 2.2%.
As of 12 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for Centuri Holdings, Inc. (CTRI) is 38/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 47, Value 36, Momentum 47, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT CENTURI HOLDINGS, INC.
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Centuri Holdings, Inc. is a leading strategic infrastructure services provider that maintains, repairs, and installs utility infrastructure for natural gas and electric providers in North America. The company operates as a critical partner to major regulated utilities, focusing on long-term capital improvement and modernization programs. Its competitive advantage lies in its scale, exemplary safety record, and long-term master service agreements that generate highly predictable revenues.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2.8B | 2.9B | 2.6B | 3.0B | 2.6% | 3.7B | 3.9B | 4.3B | 20.6% |
| EPS | -1.94 | -2.15 | -0.08 | 0.25 | — | 0.57 | 0.73 | 1.01 | 100.7% |
| Shares | 86.7M | 86.7M | 88.5M | 100.7M | +16.2% | 101.0M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 1.3B | 1.3B | 1.0B | 938.1M | -11.1% | 1.1B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 386.8M | 226.0M | 555.6M | 873.0M | 31.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 94.6M | 167.5M | 158.2M | 78.1M | -6.2% | 41.3M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -117.1M | -94.8M | -89.4M | -88.2M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -27.5M | -103.4M | -52.6M | 88.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
Made a new 52-week low 4 trading days ago, 47% below its 52-week high. The fall has not stopped yet.
Swung more than 67% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 54% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of CTRI are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| CTRI | Centuri Holdings, Inc.(you) | $2.0B | 38 |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Holding Company | $2.1B | 53 |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities Corporation | $3.4B | 47 |
| BIPC.TO | Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation | $4.6B | 44 |
| NJR | New Jersey Resources Corporation | $5.4B | 43 |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group, Inc. | $4.0B | 26 |
| SR | Spire Inc. | $5.0B | 50 |
| SWX | Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. | $6.6B | 50 |
| OGS | ONE Gas, Inc. | $4.9B | 57 |
| BKH | Black Hills Corporation | $6.1B | 59 |
Peer medians: ROE 9.1% · P/E 20.5x · Gross margin 45.7%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.