MDU
SinkerMDU Resources Group, Inc. · Utilities · United States · $4.0B cap · $35.6M/day traded
$19.44 +0.8% · close 11 Nov · scored 12 Nov
Sinker: Weak business, rich price and weak momentum. Nothing here to keep it afloat.
Around its 5 Nov results, analysts left next year's EPS estimate little changed.
As of 12 Nov 2026, the MoatMap Score for MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) is 26/100, ranked against 25,000+ stocks in 38 markets (Quality 36, Value 37, Momentum 39, each scored against its sector).
Does the score work? Each tenth of the ranking, tracked monthly. See the record →
ABOUT MDU RESOURCES GROUP, INC.
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MDU Resources Group, Inc. is a diversified company operating both regulated utility businesses for electric and natural gas, and non-regulated construction materials and services segments. This hybrid model provides stable utility-derived cash flow complemented by robust construction operations, leveraging regional expertise and vertical integration across the Northern Plains and Pacific Northwest.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 1.7B | 1.8B | 1.8B | 1.9B | 2.4% | 1.9B | 2.0B | 2.1B | 6.6% |
| EPS | 1.81 | 2.04 | 1.38 | 0.93 | -19.9% | 0.91 | 0.97 | 1.06 | 6.6% |
| Shares | 203.6M | 203.7M | 203.9M | 204.4M | +0.4% | 210.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 2.5B | 2.3B | 2.3B | 2.7B | 2.6% | 2.6B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 3.6B | 2.9B | 2.7B | 2.8B | -8.2% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 510.1M | 332.6M | 502.3M | 473.4M | -2.5% | 428.2M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -638.9M | -540.8M | -552.7M | -780.9M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 155.2M | 204.6M | 40.3M | 268.8M | — | — | — | — | — |
No clear trend: not near its 52-week low, and not in a steady uptrend.
Calmer than 91% of stocks we rank over the past year (volatility 20% a year).
How this is worked out
The MoatMap Score weighs the business, its price and its trend. The price check reads only the chart: the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn (the Turning up rule above) cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: how much the price moved day to day over the past year, scaled to a yearly figure (annualised volatility) and ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MDU are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| MDU | MDU Resources Group, Inc.(you) | $4.0B | 26 |
| BIPC.TO | Brookfield Infrastructure Corporation | $4.6B | 44 |
| NJR | New Jersey Resources Corporation | $5.4B | 43 |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities Corporation | $3.4B | 47 |
| CTRI | Centuri Holdings, Inc. | $2.0B | 38 |
| SR | Spire Inc. | $5.0B | 50 |
| SWX | Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. | $6.6B | 50 |
| OGS | ONE Gas, Inc. | $4.9B | 57 |
| NWN | Northwest Natural Holding Company | $2.1B | 53 |
| BKH | Black Hills Corporation | $6.1B | 59 |
Peer medians: ROE 9.1% · P/E 20.5x · Gross margin 45.7%
Company Deep Dive
A 10,000-word report: the business and its segments, what management promised on earnings calls and whether it delivered, the competition, and how things could turn out.