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DLTR

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Dollar Tree, Inc. · Consumer Defensive · United States · $24.1B · Avg Vol: $265M/d

75
StockRank
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Q
70
V
38
M
63
P/E (TTM)
16.1x
ROE
46.0%
D/E
2.2x
Dividend %
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Insufficient evidence for a screen-pass. Dollar Tree, Inc.: fails the quant gate on value (Q70/V38/M62; every leg must be >= 50). Absence of evidence is neutral; nothing adverse is known.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety stores in North America under the Dollar Tree and Family Dollar banners, offering a wide assortment of merchandise at fixed price points. The company benefits from its unique everyday value proposition, strong brand loyalty, and efficient supply chain. Its extensive store footprint and ability to cater to cost-conscious consumers provide resilience in various economic conditions.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2023202420252026CAGRTTM2027E2028EFwd CAGR
Revenue15.4B16.8B17.6B19.4B8.0%20.1B20.7B21.9B6.3%
EPS7.24-4.55-14.056.23-4.9%8.168.488.5717.3%
Shares221.2M217.9M215.1M198.5M-10.3%187.6M
Debt10.1B7.4B7.8B7.1B-11.3%7.7B
Equity8.8B7.3B4.0B3.8B-24.6%
Op CF1.6B2.7B2.9B2.5B16.2%3.1B
Inv CF-1.3B-2.1B-1.7B-728.5M
Fin CF-686.8M-530.0M-411.3M-2.6B
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)-7.7%
118123128132137Jul 30Aug 20Sep 10
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$118.66
RSI (14)
38.0
52W High
$142.40
From 52W High
0.8%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
70
ROIC
16.8%76.4
ROE
46.0%97.3
GP/Assets
55.4%86.0
Op. Margin
6.2%46.3
FCF/Assets
10.7%84.4
Piotroski
889.8
Int. Cover
20.1x61.1
D/E Ratio
2.24x5.2
Current Ratio
1.13x28.6
Value
38
P/E (TTM)
16.1x53.8
EV/EBITDA
12.5x34.8
P/FCF
16.7x50.3
P/B
7.2x8.6
P/S
1.2x44.6
Div Yield
N/A
Momentum
63
52W High %
83%57.1
RS 6M
-8%58.0
SMA 50/200
1.08x80.7
EPS Rev 4W
+2.9%69.3
EPS Rev 12W
+3.5%85.9
EPS Improve
-3%16.4
Q Growth
173%93.3

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$24.1B
P/E (Forward)
16.6x
Gross Margin
37.2%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of DLTR are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
DLTRDollar Tree, Inc.(you)$24.1B75Buy
DGDollar General Corporation$27.1B55Hold
TGTTarget Corporation$74.1B83Strong Buy
BJBJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc.$11.4B52Hold
PSMTPriceSmart, Inc.$5.2B42Hold
OLLIOllie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc.$4.4B36Hold
COSTCostco Wholesale Corporation$419.3B37Hold
SYYSysco Corporation$39.3B72Buy
BF-ABrown-Forman Corporation$12.7B79Buy
COKECoca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.$13.2B80Strong Buy

Peer medians: ROE 9.2% · P/E 20.6x · Gross margin 34.5%

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR): Stock Score Summary

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) has a MoatMap StockRank of 75/100 based on Quality (70/100), Value (38/100), and Momentum (63/100) factor scores. The current signal is BUY. Insufficient evidence for a screen-pass. Dollar Tree, Inc.: fails the quant gate on value (Q70/V38/M62; every leg must be >= 50). Absence of evidence is neutral; nothing adverse is known.

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates discount variety stores in North America under the Dollar Tree and Family Dollar banners, offering a wide assortment of merchandise at fixed price points. The company benefits from its unique everyday value proposition, strong brand loyalty, and efficient supply chain. Its extensive store footprint and ability to cater to cost-conscious consumers provide resilience in various economic conditions.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$118.66
Market Cap$24.1B
P/E (TTM)16.11
P/E (Forward)16.63
Price/Book7.25
Return on Equity46.0%
Return on Invested Capital16.8%
Debt/Equity2.24x
Gross Margin37.2%
Operating Margin6.2%
Revenue Growth7.0%
Free Cash Flow$1.4B

Dollar Tree, Inc. operates in the Discount Stores industry, part of the Consumer Defensive sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Dollar Tree, Inc.’s (DLTR) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) is 75/100, with a Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (70), Value (38), and Momentum (63) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 25,000+ stocks.
Does Dollar Tree, Inc. have an economic moat?
Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) has a Quality factor score of 70/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Dollar Tree, Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) is Buy, based on a StockRank of 75/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Dollar Tree, Inc. in?
Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, specifically the Discount Stores industry (United States).