TGT
BuyPremium GrowerAI neutralTarget Corporation · Consumer Defensive · United States · $69.4B cap · $571.5M/day traded
$148.96 +0.6% · close 28 Oct · scored 29 Oct
Premium Grower: Strong business with the market behind it, priced at a premium.
Report expected 18 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has risen 6.9% over the last 14 weeks.
As of 29 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Target Corporation (TGT) is 75/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 58, Value 43, Momentum 69, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Target is a large US general merchandise and grocery retailer that is cutting prices on nearly 2,000 products ahead of the holidays to win back traffic, an approach Jefferies says is working, supported by an active buyback. Much of its assortment is discretionary and sourced from Asia, so it faces squeezed low-income shoppers, rising freight costs and strong competition from Walmart, Costco and Amazon.
ABOUT TARGET CORPORATION
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Target Corporation (TGT) operates as a leading general merchandise retailer, offering a broad assortment of products from apparel and home goods to groceries and electronics across its extensive store network and growing digital platforms. Its competitive moat stems from its distinctive brand identity, known for "cheap chic" design and affordability, and significant investments in omnichannel capabilities and supply chain efficiency. Target maintains a strong position by appealing to value-conscious consumers seeking both style and convenience.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | CAGR | TTM | 2027E | 2028E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 109.1B | 107.4B | 106.6B | 104.8B | -1.3% | 107.7B | 110.2B | 113.8B | 4.2% |
| EPS | 6.02 | 8.96 | 8.89 | 8.16 | 10.7% | 9.63 | 11.04 | 10.29 | 12.3% |
| Shares | 460.3M | 461.7M | 455.6M | 452.8M | -1.6% | 454.3M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 19.1B | 19.6B | 19.9B | 20.3B | 2.1% | 19.2B | — | — | — |
| Equity | 11.2B | 13.4B | 14.7B | 16.2B | 12.9% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 4.0B | 8.6B | 7.4B | 6.6B | 17.8% | 8.7B | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -5.5B | -4.8B | -2.9B | -3.6B | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | -2.2B | -2.3B | -3.5B | -2.2B | — | — | — | — | — |
Above its 200-day average and 13% below its 52-week high.
Calmer than 71% of stocks we rank over the past year (31% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Consumer Defensive, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of TGT are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TGT | Target Corporation(you) | $69.4B | 75 | Buy |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | $29.3B | 66 | Buy |
| DOL.TO | Dollarama Inc. | $39.8B | 57 | Hold |
| DLTR | Dollar Tree, Inc. | $23.5B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| WALMEX.MX | Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. | $46.8B | 47 | Hold |
| BJ | BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. | $13.4B | 60 | Hold |
| COST | Costco Wholesale Corporation | $444.6B | 54 | Hold |
| PCO.WA | Pepco Group N.V. | $6.7B | 86 | Strong Buy |
| 7532.T | Pan Pacific International Holdings Corporation | $14.2B | 42 | Hold |
| DIA.MC | Distribuidora Internacional de Alimentación, S.A. | $2.8B | 68 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 9.2% · P/E 16.5x · Gross margin 30.7%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.