DUOL
HoldFallen FavouriteDuolingo, Inc. · Technology · United States · $6.8B cap · $159.1M/day traded
$147.74 -1.5% · close 12 Oct · scored 14 Oct
StockRank down 2.1 since 13 Oct.
Fallen Favourite: A good business, still expensive, and the price is falling.
Read our full research report on DUOL (Apr 2026), freeReport expected 4 Nov: the next-year EPS estimate has fallen 2.6% over the last 13 weeks.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) is 63/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 72, Value 46, Momentum 40, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
ABOUT DUOLINGO, INC.
Read
Duolingo, Inc. develops and operates the world's most popular language-learning platform, offering bite-sized lessons, gamified experiences, and a freemium model, along with the Duolingo English Test. It benefits from massive scale, strong brand recognition, and a highly engaging, gamified learning approach, creating a powerful network effect. Duolingo is a global leader in educational technology, focused on making language learning accessible and fun, with growing user monetization and product diversification.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 369.5M | 531.1M | 748.0M | 1.0B | 41.1% | 1.1B | 1.2B | 1.4B | 14.8% |
| EPS | -1.51 | 0.39 | 1.97 | 8.88 | 377.2% | 8.42 | 4.99 | 5.77 | -19.4% |
| Shares | 40.4M | 42.5M | 44.9M | 46.6M | +15.5% | 40.2M | — | — | — |
| Debt | 28.4M | 21.1M | 54.7M | 93.8M | 48.9% | 86.1M | — | — | — |
| Equity | 542.1M | 655.5M | 824.5M | 1.3B | 35.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 53.7M | 153.6M | 285.5M | 387.8M | 93.3% | 430.5M | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -14.2M | -13.6M | -217.3M | -107.7M | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 14.8M | 2.1M | -30.0M | -29.5M | — | — | — | — | — |
68% above its 52-week low and back above a rising 50-day average.
The Momentum score still reads 40: it weighs six months of price and earnings revisions, so it trails a turn like this.
Swung more than 77% of stocks we rank over the past year (63% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Technology, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of DUOL are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DUOL | Duolingo, Inc.(you) | $6.8B | 63 | Hold |
| CVLT | Commvault Systems, Inc. | $6.2B | 65 | Hold |
| BSY | Bentley Systems, Incorporated | $9.9B | 65 | Buy |
| LYFT | Lyft, Inc. | $5.6B | 69 | Buy |
| CHYM | Chime Financial, Inc. | $10.0B | 67 | Buy |
| PEGA | Pegasystems Inc. | $5.8B | 53 | Hold |
| CCC | CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings Inc. | $3.9B | 65 | Hold |
| WK | Workiva Inc. | $3.9B | 65 | Buy |
| OCTV | Octave Intelligence plc | $5.3B | 53 | Hold |
| IDCC | InterDigital, Inc. | $8.4B | 73 | Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 7.5% · P/E 35.8x · Gross margin 52.9%
Company Deep Dive
Read the full research report: business segments breakdown, earnings transcripts review, management credibility analysis, competitive landscape, and scenarios.