Also trades as GNE.AX.

GNE.NZ

Strong BuySecond WindAI neutral

Genesis Energy Limited · Utilities · New Zealand · $1.9B

NZD 2.46 -0.4% · close 6 Oct · scored 7 Oct

Second Wind: Cheap and rising again, but the business does not yet earn the optimism.

84
StockRank
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Quality
49
Value
62
Momentum
68

Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →

P/E (TTM)
35.6x
peers 29.8x
ROE
2.8%
peers 6.3%
D/E
0.4x
peers 0.5x
Dividend %
5.9%
trailing yield
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Genesis Energy is a New Zealand electricity and gas retailer and generator that owns the Huntly thermal station, which the country relies on in dry years. Forward earnings estimates have risen almost 19% in four weeks, likely reflecting firm wholesale power prices and its role backing up the grid. However, it is a regulated-style utility exposed to hydro inflows and domestic gas scarcity, with limited pricing power and heavy political scrutiny of power prices, so the earnings upgrade looks cyclical rather than a lasting improvement.

ABOUT GENESIS ENERGY LIMITED

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Genesis Energy Limited generates, trades in, and sells electricity to residential and business customers in New Zealand. The company generates electricity from thermal, hydro, solar, and wind sources. It operates through Retail, Wholesale, and Kupe segments.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (NZD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2027E2028EFwd CAGR
Revenue2.8B2.4B3.0B3.7B9.5%2.8B4.3B4.3B5.1%
EPS (NZD)0.210.180.120.15-10.0%0.070.120.13-6.2%
Shares1.1B1.1B1.1B1.1B+4.9%1.3B———
Debt1.5B1.4B1.5B1.5B-0.1%1.1B———
Equity2.4B2.4B2.7B3.0B7.7%————
Op CF261.7M422.6M439.8M311.7M6.0%512.5M———
Inv CF-110.6M-104.6M-172.3M-239.8M—————
Fin CF-149.8M-363.5M-134.8M-183.7M—————
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y) · NZD-8.6%
2.462.542.632.712.7925 Aug16 Sep6 Oct
SMA 50SMA 200

Price checkExperimental
SwingsVery calm

Calmer than 94% of stocks we rank over the past year (18% a year).

How this is worked out

What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.

What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.

Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.

Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.

Close
NZD 2.46
RSI (14)
34.0
52-Week Range-9.5% from high
Low NZD 2.07High NZD 2.72

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
49
ROIC
3.8%21.0
ROE
2.8%22.9
GP/Assets
8.8%49.1
Op. Margin
8.0%32.2
FCF/Assets
8.0%92.2
Piotroski
658.1
Int. Cover
3.0x42.9
D/E Ratio
0.38x76.4
Current Ratio
0.86x32.8
Value
62
P/E (TTM)
35.6x16.3
EV/EBITDA
8.4x74.2
P/FCF
7.0x77.7
P/B
1.1x65.2
P/S
1.2x65.3
Div Yield
5.9%86.7
Momentum
68
52W High %
91%79.5
RS 6M
12%86.2
SMA 50/200
1.08x85.2
EPS Rev 4W
-4.4%11.0
EPS Rev 12W
+10.8%94.8
EPS Improve
+122%80.6
Q Growth
—N/A

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$1.9B
P/E (Forward)
16.0x
Gross Margin
18.7%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Utilities, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GNE.NZ are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
GNE.NZGenesis Energy Limited(you)$1.9B84Strong Buy
VCT.NZVector Limited$2.6B66Buy
CEN.AXContact Energy Limited$5.3B76Buy
MCY.NZMercury NZ Limited$5.6B64Hold
MEL.NZMeridian Energy Limited$8.4B31Sell

Peer medians: ROE 6.3% · P/E 29.8x · Gross margin 33.1%

Company Deep Dive

Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.

Request Deep Dive(50 Feathers)

Genesis Energy Limited (GNE.NZ): Stock Score Summary

Genesis Energy Limited (GNE.NZ) has a MoatMap StockRank of 84/100 based on Quality (49/100), Value (62/100), and Momentum (68/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. Genesis Energy is a New Zealand electricity and gas retailer and generator that owns the Huntly thermal station, which the country relies on in dry years. Forward earnings estimates have risen almost 19% in four weeks, likely reflecting firm wholesale power prices and its role backing up the grid. However, it is a regulated-style utility exposed to hydro inflows and domestic gas scarcity, with limited pricing power and heavy political scrutiny of power prices, so the earnings upgrade looks cyclical rather than a lasting improvement.

Genesis Energy Limited generates, trades in, and sells electricity to residential and business customers in New Zealand. The company generates electricity from thermal, hydro, solar, and wind sources. It operates through Retail, Wholesale, and Kupe segments.

Key Financial Metrics

PriceNZD 2.46
Market Cap$1.9B
P/E (TTM)35.57
P/E (Forward)16.00
Price/Book1.09
Return on Equity2.8%
Return on Invested Capital3.8%
Debt/Equity0.38x
Gross Margin18.7%
Operating Margin8.0%
Revenue Growth-31.7%
Dividend Yield5.9%
Free Cash Flow$271M

Genesis Energy Limited operates in the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry, part of the Utilities sector (New Zealand).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Genesis Energy Limited’s (GNE.NZ) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Genesis Energy Limited (GNE.NZ) is 84/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (49), Value (62), and Momentum (68) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 24,000+ stocks.
Does Genesis Energy Limited have an economic moat?
Genesis Energy Limited (GNE.NZ) has a Quality factor score of 49/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Genesis Energy Limited a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Genesis Energy Limited (GNE.NZ) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 84/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Genesis Energy Limited in?
Genesis Energy Limited (GNE.NZ) operates in the Utilities sector, specifically the Utilities - Independent Power Producers industry (New Zealand).