Company Deep Dive

Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.

Request Deep Dive(50 Feathers)

GPRE

Strong BuyFull HouseFLAG

Green Plains Inc. · Basic Materials · United States · $1.0B · Avg Vol: $24M/d

82
StockRank
Get insider-trade alerts
Q
53
V
70
M
55
P/E (TTM)
9.3x
ROE
15.5%
D/E
0.6x
Dividend %
AI CONVICTION THESIS

Green Plains has exceptional momentum at M85 but quality Q46 and value V46 both miss the calibrated requirements, with quality below the floor, so stage one fails.

COMPANY DESCRIPTION

Green Plains Inc. is a leading North American producer of biofuels and advanced protein ingredients, operating a network of biorefineries that transform corn into ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil. The company's competitive moat is built upon its significant scale, integrated operations, and proprietary protein-upgrading technology, enhancing the value of its co-products. Green Plains is strategically positioned in the evolving market for sustainable animal feed and renewable fuels.

FINANCIAL SUMMARY (USD)

Year2022202320242025CAGRTTM2026E2027EFwd CAGR
Revenue3.7B3.3B2.5B2.1B-17.0%1.8B1.9B2.3B4.4%
EPS-2.29-1.59-1.29-1.801.672.011.56
Shares59.3M59.5M64.7M69.8M+17.8%70.1M
Debt711.0M676.5M642.0M456.1M-13.8%548.6M
Equity910.0M843.7M865.2M766.2M-5.6%
Op CF69.7M56.3M-30.0M110.9M16.7%153.9M
Inv CF-105.3M-106.9M-62.1M162.1M
Fin CF-25.1M-71.0M-77.3M-252.3M
Loading 1Y...
PRICE (1Y)-11.2%
14.0414.8515.6616.4717.28Jul 30Aug 20Sep 10
SMA 50SMA 200

Close
$15.34
RSI (14)
44.4
52W High
$19.65
From 52W High
0.8%

SCORE BREAKDOWN

Quality
53
ROIC
-5.1%27.9
ROE
15.5%82.3
GP/Assets
18.6%62.7
Op. Margin
15.2%74.4
FCF/Assets
4.7%72.7
Piotroski
547.3
Int. Cover
-0.9x24.2
D/E Ratio
0.63x23.1
Current Ratio
1.99x48.9
Value
70
P/E (TTM)
9.3x86.5
EV/EBITDA
7.1x73.9
P/FCF
13.9x66.9
P/B
1.2x70.4
P/S
0.6x79.0
Div Yield
N/A
Momentum
55
52W High %
78%62.6
RS 6M
-15%45.0
SMA 50/200
1.11x81.6
EPS Rev 4W
+9.6%91.9
EPS Rev 12W
+3.2%81.6
EPS Improve
-6%17.2
Q Growth
N/A

FUNDAMENTALS

Market Cap
$1.0B
P/E (Forward)
9.9x
Gross Margin
16.0%

SECTOR PEERS

Closest peers in Basic Materials, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of GPRE are excluded.

TickerCompanyMkt CapStockRankSignal
GPREGreen Plains Inc.(you)$1.0B82Strong Buy
REXREX American Resources Corporation$1.4B86Strong Buy
VHIValhi, Inc.$511M85Strong Buy
LXULSB Industries, Inc.$748M46Hold
OLNOlin Corporation$2.0B38Hold
HUNHuntsman Corporation$1.7B34Sell
ASIXAdvanSix Inc.$445M35Sell
RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials Inc.$582M26Sell
TROXTronox Holdings plc$862M11Strong Sell
ISO.JOASP Isotopes Inc.$626M17Strong Sell

Peer medians: ROE 1.8% · P/E 23.1x · Gross margin 24.4%

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE): Stock Score Summary

Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a MoatMap StockRank of 82/100 based on Quality (53/100), Value (70/100), and Momentum (55/100) factor scores. The current signal is STRONG BUY. Green Plains has exceptional momentum at M85 but quality Q46 and value V46 both miss the calibrated requirements, with quality below the floor, so stage one fails.

Green Plains Inc. is a leading North American producer of biofuels and advanced protein ingredients, operating a network of biorefineries that transform corn into ethanol, distillers grains, and corn oil. The company's competitive moat is built upon its significant scale, integrated operations, and proprietary protein-upgrading technology, enhancing the value of its co-products. Green Plains is strategically positioned in the evolving market for sustainable animal feed and renewable fuels.

Key Financial Metrics

Price$15.34
Market Cap$1.0B
P/E (TTM)9.25
P/E (Forward)9.89
Price/Book1.24
Return on Equity15.5%
Return on Invested Capital-5.1%
Debt/Equity0.63x
Gross Margin16.0%
Operating Margin15.2%
Revenue Growth-19.3%
Free Cash Flow$74M

Green Plains Inc. operates in the Chemicals industry, part of the Basic Materials sector (United States).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Green Plains Inc.’s (GPRE) StockRank?
MoatMap’s StockRank for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) is 82/100, with a Strong Buy signal. It is a composite of Quality (53), Value (70), and Momentum (55) factor ranks across MoatMap’s universe of 25,000+ stocks.
Does Green Plains Inc. have an economic moat?
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) has a Quality factor score of 53/100. The Quality factor combines ROIC, Piotroski F-Score, and leverage: the financial fingerprints of a durable competitive advantage. A Quality score above 70 typically indicates a company with the characteristics of a moated business.
Is Green Plains Inc. a buy, hold, or sell?
MoatMap’s current signal for Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) is Strong Buy, based on a StockRank of 82/100. Signals are derived mechanically from the StockRank composite and should be one input among many; combine with your own thesis on management, competitive position, and valuation.
What sector is Green Plains Inc. in?
Green Plains Inc. (GPRE) operates in the Basic Materials sector, specifically the Chemicals industry (United States).