MEDC.JK
Strong BuyFull HouseAI neutralPT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk · Energy · Indonesia · $2.1B cap · $4.4M/day traded
IDR 1,450 -0.3% · close 13 Oct · scored 14 Oct
Full House: Strong business, sensible price, market agrees. The rare full house.
As of 14 Oct 2026, MoatMap's StockRank for PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk (MEDC.JK) is 90/100, ranked against 24,000+ stocks in 35 markets (Quality 53, Value 84, Momentum 53, each scored against its sector).
Does StockRank work? Each month we publish how every decile did, whichever way it went. See the record →
Medco Energi is Indonesia's largest private oil and gas producer, with interests in copper mining and power. Brent near $100 and firm Asian gas prices lift its cash flow, and the valuation is low. However, it is a commodity producer with significant debt, and part of its gas is sold at regulated prices, so it is exposed to both the commodity cycle and Indonesian policy.
ABOUT PT MEDCO ENERGI INTERNASIONAL TBK
Read
PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk, together with its subsidiaries, explores for and produces oil and gas in Indonesia, Asia, Africa, the Middle East, and the United Kingdom. It operates through Exploration and Production of Oil and Gas; Services; Power; Chemicals; and Trading segments.
FINANCIAL SUMMARY (IDR)
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | CAGR | TTM | 2026E | 2027E | Fwd CAGR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 41.4T | 40.2T | 42.9T | 42.9T | 1.2% | 46.6T | 50.2T | 48.3T | 6.1% |
| EPS (IDR) | 379.85 | 236.35 | 262.30 | 73.00 | -42.3% | 231.11 | — | — | — |
| Shares | 25.0B | 25.0B | 25.1B | 24.7B | -1.4% | 24.7B | — | — | — |
| Debt | 59.7T | 63.2T | 64.0T | 69.8T | 5.3% | 77.7T | — | — | — |
| Equity | 27.9T | 32.7T | 37.9T | 38.5T | 11.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Op CF | 20.0T | 12.9T | 21.8T | 16.2T | -6.7% | 19.1T | — | — | — |
| Inv CF | -19.0T | -11.3T | -6.6T | -13.5T | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fin CF | 1.2T | -6.2T | -10.2T | -3.9T | — | — | — | — | — |
44% above its 52-week low and back above a rising 50-day average since 8 Oct 2026.
Swung more than 65% of stocks we rank over the past year (51% a year).
How this is worked out
StockRank judges the business. The price check reads only the chart: it is the price side of the Momentum score, in words.
The rules: Still falling is a new 52-week low in the last two weeks, at least 25% below the high. Finding a floor is no new low since. Turning up is 20 or more trading days without a new low, at least 10% off it, and back above a rising 50-day average. In an uptrend is above the 200-day average and within 15% of the high.
In 2,112 US drawdowns since 2001, buying while the price was still falling was followed by a further 20% drop 42% of the time. Waiting for a turn like this one cut that to 33%, at about 7% higher prices and with no better returns. Part of that cut is simply not buying: 13% of falls never turned, and waiting kept those out. Among turns that were bought, 38% still fell another 20%, and 33% of turns were followed by a new low within six months. The benefit was largest in crashes such as 2008 and 2020.
What it measures: day-to-day price moves over the past year, as a yearly figure, ranked against every stock we cover. Very calm under 20% a year, Calm 20 to 30%, Average 30 to 40%, Bumpy 40 to 55%, Very bumpy above that.
What we found: across about 13,500 stocks in 34 markets (2002 to 2025), past swings were a good guide to the next year's, and bumpier stocks fell further. How much further changed too much between eras to put a number on it.
Calm is not safe: a calm stock can still slide steadily.
Rules fixed before any data was fetched. Describes the chart, not a recommendation.
SCORE BREAKDOWN
FUNDAMENTALS
SECTOR PEERS
Closest peers in Energy, ranked by industry match, size, and score similarity. Cross-listings of MEDC.JK are excluded.
| Ticker | Company | Mkt Cap | StockRank | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEDC.JK | PT Medco Energi Internasional Tbk(you) | $2.1B | 90 | Strong Buy |
| ENRG.JK | PT Energi Mega Persada Tbk | $2.6B | 25 | Sell |
| PTBA.JK | PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk | $2.0B | 89 | Strong Buy |
| AKRA.JK | PT AKR Corporindo Tbk | $1.6B | 87 | Strong Buy |
| GEMS.JK | PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk | $2.4B | 98 | Strong Buy |
| ITMG.JK | PT Indo Tambangraya Megah Tbk | $1.6B | 95 | Strong Buy |
| ADRO.JK | PT Alamtri Resources Indonesia Tbk | $4.1B | 82 | Strong Buy |
| CRD.AX | Conrad Asia Energy Ltd. | $90M | 25 | Sell |
| BSSR.JK | PT Baramulti Suksessarana Tbk | $786M | 100 | Strong Buy |
| ABMM.JK | PT ABM Investama Tbk | $415M | 85 | Strong Buy |
Peer medians: ROE 11.1% · P/E 14.9x · Gross margin 18.2%
Company Deep Dive
Business segments breakdown, earnings transcript analysis, management credibility scoring, competitive landscape, and scenario modelling.